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King Creole
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NFL Week Two OU results / Week Three OU lines

Oddsmakers try to be as consistent as possible when setting the OU lines in the NFL every week. That consistency showed up again last week. In fact, the average OU line last week was EXACTLY the same as it was in Week One. Talk about KEY NUMBERS? You got it! The 16 games in Week Two had an average OU line of 45.2.... the same average of the previous week. The RESULTS were a little different though. After seeing Week One go 9-7 O/U, this past week's games went 7-8-1 O/U (the one OU 'tie' was in the Texans / Jaguars game). What is a little surprising is despite the fact that there were more UNDERS than OVERS, the average points per game was 47.8. So the average game went OVER by +2.6. The reason for that? The games that DID go 'Over' did so by a lot of points. We can thank the 72 points scored in the NEng / Buf game... the 71 points scored in the Arz/Chi game (YAY!)... and the 70 points scored in the Oak/Bal game. Another interesting aspect was the results for the games with the highest OU lines. If you got sucked in and played the OVER in these games, you got burned really bad. The TOP FIVE games with the highest OU lines ended up going a PERFECT 0-5 O/U. Those games were: Dallas / Philly: 53 pts (final score 20-10)... Atlanta / NY Giants: 50 pts (24-20)... Seattle / Green Bay: 49.5 pts (27-17)... San Diego / Cincy: 48 pts (24-19)... and  Tampa / New Orleans: 47 / (26-19).

PRIMETIME update: Remember the good old days of last season? You could pretty much 'bet' (pun intended) that a high percentage of PRIMETIME games would go Over the Total. But not any more. Like all patterns and tendencies, these numbers tend to come back down to earth. After two weeks of this season, those PRIMETIME games have now gone 2-5 O/U. It reminds me of that great 'OVER' pattern of two seasons ago in non-conference (AFC vs NFC games). Remember that great season? For a full year, those non-conf games went OVER at a 75% clip. But it came back down to earth last season. So what will be the new great 'OVER' pattern to emerge this year?  

In this week's Game Two, the average OU line has come down slightly... to an average of 44.8 points per game.There are NO Sunday games this week that currently have a line of 48 or more points (there were four last week). Here's you review of Week Three from the last six years. We list the year... the average Week two OU line... the actual total of combined points... the OU average margin... and the actual OU results. This has obviously been the lowest scoring week in the first four games of the season. 

2015: 44.8

2014: 45.6 / 45.9 / +0.3 ppg / 9-7 O/U

2013: 45.1 / 46.3 / +2.2 ppg / 7-9 O/U

2012: 45.5 / 45.9 / +0.4 ppg / 6-10 O/U

2011: 44.3 / 40.3 / -4.0 ppg / 6-10 O/U

2010: 41.6 / 43.4 / +1.8 ppg / 9-7 O/U

2009: 42.6 / 39.4 / -3.2 ppg / 7-9 O/U

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Last 5 Comments

(Post Comment)

Sat, Jun 6 2015
11:32 AM

2-7 last week..terible-..and 23 dollar for pick...HA

Sun, Mar 1 2015
12:31 PM
I got Detroit at 3.5 so I'm not sure why you think everyone won..
Fri, Feb 6 2015
6:46 PM
If I played opposite your total plays I would have a nice profit but unfortunately I didn't. Please stick to sides and maybe you can turn it around...GL either way !!!!!
Wed, Feb 4 2015
7:06 AM
Never got an answer to my question. How can you advertise two picks and only give out one???
Tue, Feb 3 2015
2:57 PM
Bought your NBA package for tonight's games. It says you have two NBA picks. I only received one. Where is the other one?

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