Turkey Day OVER / UNDER results
One of the things that I'LL be thankful for on
Thursday are three VERY compelling division games on the Turkey Day
schedule. There are Playoff implications in ALL three of Thursday's
games. And the NFC Conference takes center stage. The pattern as of
late is for these Turkey Day games to be high scoring. Last year,
these games went a perfect 3-0 O/U: Packers @ Lions OVER... Raiders
@ Cowboys OVER (which we used as a Tipsheet winner in 2013)... and
Steelers @ Ravens OVER. In 2012, these game ALSO went a perfect 3-0
O/U. So in the last two seasons, the Thanksgiving Day games have
ALL gone Over (6-0 O/U). Here's your year-by-year
2013: 3-0 O/U... 2012: 3-0 O/U... 2011: 0-3 O/U...
2010: 2-1 O/U... 2009: 0-3 O/U... 2008: 2-1 O/U... 2007: 2-1 O/U...
2006: 1-2 O/U... 2005: 1-1 O/U... 2004: 0-2 O/U... 2003: 1-1 O/U...
2002: 1-1 O/U.
Thursday games by DIVISION:
NFC North Division games on a
THURSDAY (Bears @ Lions) have gone 3-5 O/U since 2003....
NFC East Division games on a THURSDAY (Eagles @
Cowboys) have gone 3-1 O/U since 2002... and NFC West
Division games on a THURSDAY (Seahawks @ Niners) have gone
2-4 O/U since 1995.
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2** UNDER the TOTAL / Panthers @
1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT / #468
My dog SPEEDEE has been kicking ass
lately with his NFL Underdogs AND his NFL 'Unders'. He'll go LOW
this week in the Panthers / Vikings game featuring two
dysfunctional offenses. Minnesota is ranked #30 in offensive YPG
this year (only 308.2)... and Carolina is ranked #23 (327.2 YPG).
In addition, both teams are averaging LESS than 20 ppg (Min: 18.4 /
The Panthers come into this one off
their Bye Week... 1-9 O/U L5Y: All non-division road
dogs playing with REST (Panthers) when the OU line is < 44
Carolina also comes in on a current
FIVE-game losing streak... 2-14 O/U L3Y / 0-8 O/U L12
months / 0-4 O/U THIS season: All road dogs of 9 < pts playing
off 5 or more SU losses in a row (Panthers)... when the OU line is
48 < points.
Meanwhile, the host Vikings are in
the middle of 3 straight 'homies' in a row.... 3-17
O/U since '84 / 0-8 O/U since '98: All teams in the 2nd of 3
STRAIGHT home games (Min) off a SU loss that went 'Under' in their
This game features two of the worst
teams in the league (Min: 4-7 SU / Car: 3-7-1 SU)... 3-13 O/U since
'07 / 0-5 O/U last 3 years: All GAME 11 or greater < .400 home
favs of < 5 points (Min) vs a < .400 opponent
Sealing the deal are the UNDER-whelming recent
tendencies of this series. Minnesota and Carolina are 1-4 O/U in
the last 5 meetings, with an avg of just 36.4 total PPG.