How LOW can you go? That was the question in Week
Eleven of the 2014 NFL season. When the smoke cleaed, it was by far
the lowest scoring week of the season. In fact, you have to go back
FIVE seasons to find a lower-scoring week. The 14 games had the
highest average OU line of any week of the season, at 46.9. And the
results? An average of only 37.6 points per game. The average game
went UNDER by almost 10 full points (-9.3 ppg). NOT a good week if
you played more Overs than Unders. For the season, the YTD results
now stand at 82-78-1 O/U.
NFL DIVISION games have gone a 27-21
O/U. After a first-half of the season in which OVER were hitting a
surprisingly high rate, the worm is starting to turn in the
opposite direction. Division games went a PERFECT 0-4 O/U last
week... and have now gone 4-8 O/U in the last three weeks.
AFC non-division conference games
have gone 15-19 O/U. These games went 2-1 O/U this past week. That
includes 6-15 O/U when the home team has been favored... and 9-4
O/U when the road team has been favored. That pattern that we've
touched on as of late continues. Home Fav = UNDER... Road Fav =
OVER. It that pattern continues this week, our first inclination
would be: Dolphins @ Broncos UNDER and Bengals @ Texans UNDER (home
team is favored). There are none of these games this week in which
the road team is favored.
NFC non-division conference games
have gone 18-17-1 O/U. Last week, they went a perfect 1-3 O/U. The
games were: Philly @ Green Bay OVER (yay!)... San Fran @ NY Giants
UNDER... Tampa Bay @ Washington UNDER... and Detroit @ Arizona
UNDER. There's two of these NFC Conference non-division games this
NFL non-conference games (AFC vs
NFC) have gone 22-21 O/U. Last week, these games went 1-2 O/U. OVER
winners were in the Seattle vs Kansas City game. The UNDERS
occurred in the Denver vs St Louis game and the Cincin
You are currently logged in as   (log out).