8:15pm ET / 5:15pm PT #149-150
LOS ANGELES RAMS @ DETROIT LIONS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 51.5 or less points
LAR @ DET:
We’ll head to MoTown for Sunday’s third play. That’ll be the OVER in the game between the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Rams. Again, the home and away ‘SPLITS’ are very revealing to Over / Under bettors. The LIONS were also ranked in the Top 4 in HOME ‘Overs’ this season (6-2 O/U). In fact, as home FAVORITES… Detroit has gone an OVER-whelmng 16-3 O/U since 2017 when the OU line is less than 52.0 points. On the flip side, we already know that Green Bay (above) has been a top-notch ROAD ‘Over’ team (#2 in the league). Guess who’s #3? That would be the traveling RAMS. Los Angeles finished the year at 6-3 O/U in their road games. After starting out 0-2 O/U, their last 7 road games have actually gone 6-1 O/U. And BOTH of their Indoor road games indeed went OVER this season. This is another game in which BOTH quarterbacks should thrive (just like the Dallas / Green Bay game). Both teams are very well equipped on offense to carve up the opposing secondary. Both of these defenses are susceptible to the deep ball. And both offenses are in their BEST form of the season. Yes, LA is averaging 23.6 ppg on the year,. But in Matt Stafford last 6 starts, the numbers are a full TD higher (31.1 ppg). Meanwhile, Detroit is one of only four teams that are averaging 31 or more PPG at home this season. The UNDER hasn’t hit in a Detroit home game since way back in October. Sealing the deal for us are a few database queries that are in “Total’ agreement with us (pun intended). (1) 6-0-1 O/U since 2001: All PLAYOFF home favorites of < 6 points (LIONS) off 4 o more ATS WINS in a row… (2) 6-1 O/U since 2019: All PLAYOFF home favorites of -4 < pets wit a HIGH OU Line of 50.0 or higher (LIONS vs RAMS)… (3) 18-7 O/U since 1988: All NFC NORTH Playoff home favorites of < 10 points (LIONS vs RAMS). The results improve to 12-3 O/U in these games when te OU line is > 42.0 points… including 7-1 O/U in the last six years.