4:30pm ET / 1:30pm PT #147-148
GREEN BAY PACKERS @ DALLAS COWBOYS
3*** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 50.5 or less points
GB @ DAL:
That brings us to our BIG ONE in this game, which is the Total. Our first BEST BET of the Playoffs will be on OVER 50.5 points in this game. There’s no other way to go. Especially knowing that these two QB’s (Dak Prescott and Jordan Love) finished #1 and #2 in TD passes this season (36 for Prescott / 32 for Love). It also adds fuel to our fire when we look at each team’s home and away ‘SPLITS’ when it comes to OU results. DALLAS averaged 37.4 ppg on offense at home this season, and we’re in the TOP FIVE when it came to Home ‘OVERS’. Dating back to last season, their last 13 home games have gone 10-3 O/U. Meanwhile, when you query the TOP ‘Over’ teams on the ROAD this season, Green Bay is right at the top. After Cleveland’s #1 ranking of 8-0 O/U on the road this season comes the Packers at #2. Green Bay road games went 7-2 O/U this season… and have gone 6-1 O/U in ALL games since Thanksgiving weekend. We’ve got numerous queries from our trusty database that help elevate this play to Best Bet status: (1) 6-0 O/U All-Time: All PLAYOFF favorites of -7 > pts when BOTH teams allowed 10 < pts last game (DALLAS and GREEN BAY), when the OU line is > 39.0 points… (2) 9-1 O/U last 4 years: All PLAYOFF home teams off a SUATS road win in which they were FAVORED by -10> pts (COWBOYS)… (3) 6-1 O/U since 2016: All PLAYOFF games involving a NFC EAST team (DALLAS) versus a NFC NORTH team (GREEN BAY)…(4) 10-2 O/U since 2006: All PLAYOFF games in which one team scored 35+ pts last game (DALLAS) versus an opponent who scored 17 < pts last game (GREEN BAY). The results improve to a PERFECT 6-0 O/U for FAVORITES in this situation (DALLAS)…