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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
  • Last Update:
    05/09/2024 7:02 PM

“Is There a Bonanza with NFL Totals? In October of 2010, I immediately isolated an NFL OVER trend. Perhaps it was because of an incident that happened with my hometown Pittsburgh Steelers. It was at that point in the season that the Steelers were fined repeatedly for what the NFL termed “unsportsmanlike hits”. The NFL handed out large fines, and made threats of handing out even largely fines if the purported violence... Read more

MLB Fall Ball The end of August I wrote an article about how the “Dog Days of August” would turn into the “Dog Plays of September”. This has played out with accuracy as I write this Tuesday, September 13 th . After going 226-123 (65%) to end August, MLB favorites have fallen to a 90-70 (56%) mark in the month of September. This includes just 3-8 last night. At inflated prices on contending teams, you can... Read more

One of the most valuable tools for isolating value on each week's card is the "AFP". This "Away From the Point Spread" number is the margin of point spread victory or defeat by a particular team in a game or group of games. It is a major factor used by the line maker in adjusting the power rating of a team for their following game or games. How can we best use this information to our advantage? The first... Read more

The 10 Worst Teams in CFB

09/02/2011 8:08 AM ·

Each year at the beginning of the college football and basketball season you can tune into any source of media and get their lists of the top 25 teams in the country. With good reason all the positive media attention focuses on these teams who have worked hard to recruit a team with high expectations. This immediately translates into conversation among sports fans across the nation who all have their own opinions... Read more

Experience is vital to early season success in college sports. The following is my list of top 10 experienced teams. Many handicappers simply rely on the number of returning starters to make this list. My opinion through years of experience is that it is not nearly that simple. That is why my list of top 10 experienced teams also includes the following information: Same Coach Returning QB 16+ returning... Read more

Its always important to know your opponent. In this case we are talking about the line maker. Following is a brief recap of what you are up against when handicapping 2011 CFB. These numbers will give you a realistic outlook when handicapping the college football wars this season. The numbers below are all for the regular season in 2010 College football: 770 Total number of CFB games played. 9,576 Total... Read more

It's never easy playing your first road game in early September. But its even harder if you must do so with a first time starter at the all important quarterback position. The following chart takes a look at 11 teams who are going on the road the weekend of Sat. Sept. 3 rd with a quarterback who will be taking his first ever snap in a CFB game. I have also included the difference in the line from the end of last... Read more

Is Arbitrage Dead in Sports Betting? Arbitrage will never be dead in sports betting. The issue is that in this present era one must be more creative and vigilant to create opportunities for winning both sides of your bet. Whether applied to stock trading, commodity trading, the money market or sports betting, the purpose of Arbitrage is to put yourself in position to receive great reward for minimal risk. Before... Read more

In previous years I’ve written articles relating to the correlation of a college football team’s experience with their success in the upcoming season. For this season I’ve written this 4 part series which will point out to readers many of the important facets involved in quantifying a team’s experience. This can serve as a “Do it Yourself” guide for the self handicapper who wishes to draw his own conclusions on the ATS... Read more

If you will be betting any MLB Fall Ball this September, you will want to pay attention to what is being written in this article. In my MLB daily analysis of August games, I gave you a running tally of how well favorites have been doing in the month of August. To update you once again: for the last 25 days through Sunday, August 28th 2011 favorites are 200-114 winning 64% of the games. As a subset of that, one should... Read more

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