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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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MLB Free Picks St Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Saturday baseball and we will see the St Louis Cardinals take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in game 3 of their 4 game series from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. First pitch is scheduled for an 7:15 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised on FOX. 

Current Odds

St Louis           +130
Los Angeles      -140

Over/ Under: 6.5 O -12

Analysis: St Louis evened up this series, with a 3-1 win last night. The Cards have won 5 of their last 7 games, but still are 4.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals have struggled to score runs this year, ranking 25th in runs scored (3.78 rpg), while also ranking 17th in hitting (.251) and 29th in homers (47). Numbers we are not used to seeing from this team on offense, but the pitching is what they have held their hats on this year, ranking 3rd in ERA (3.21) and 3rd in WHIP (1.17). Taking the hill for the Cards today will be Lance Lynn, who is 8-5 on the year, with a solid 2.90 ERA, while on the road he has gone 4-3 with a 2.57 ERA. Lance is 2-0 with 2.50 ERA in 3 career starts vs the Dodgers. 

Even thought the Dodgers lost last night, they have still won 10 of their last 14 games and remain just 2 games out in the NL West. The Dodgers have been a decent offensive team this year, as they come in ranked 13th in scoring (4.16 rpg), 11th in hitting (.256), 17th in homers (69) and 1st in stolen bases (81). The Pitching has been very good for this team, as they come in ranked 5th in ERA (3.27), 8th in WHIP (1.23) and 3rd in quality starts (52). Getting the ball for the Dodgers today will be Zack Greinke, who is 9-4 with a 2.89 ERA overall, while at home he is 5-1 with a 2.96 ERA. Zack has goon numbers vs the Cards, going 8-3 with a 3.10 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) vs them.  

Pick:  I know how good teams are when Zack Greinke pitches at home, but I will be going with Lance Lynn and the Cardinals here. Both starters have good numbers vs their opponents, but the Cards do hit righties very well and the Dodgers are starting to show signs of missing Ramirez. THe Dodgers have not been a good home team this year, while the Cards are 17-5 in Lynn's last 22 starts during game 3 of a series. Look for St Louis to steal another one here.   

 
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