Granted, I just knocked on a bunch of wood, but leading the series up 2-0, how is this not almost like stealing:
|Ticket # 41717767
||Placed: ONLINE-1 on: 06/10/2008 @ 02:19 PM
||To Win: 1500.00|
|06/17/2008 @ 06:05 PM
|| CELTICS SERIES -140 - NBA|
*Played at Bookmaker
After the Celtics went up 2-0 I saw this stat when reading thru various sporting articles:
Teams up 2-0 in the NBA, after winning the first 2 at home, are 170-10 94.4 % all time in 7 game series.
So let me get this straight? The team with the best record not only straight up AND against the spread is in a 94.4% scenario and I only have to lay -140? Yes, can Kobe get divine intervention and lead his team back and shock the sporting world? Of course. Nothing is officially over until the clock reads 0:00 and the scoreboard says FINAL.
Win or lose, a gambler long term has to bet across the board anything he believes there is an edge. Pocket Aces can lose to J-9 20 times in a row, but on the 21st time you still have the edge with the aces. If a book will let you take +3.0 to +3.5 in football laying -110, you have an edge. It all boils down to the math and trying to get a positive expectation.
In the end, the Lakers can possibly come back and cost me some money and give Boston fans a wicked case of Deja Vu (Giants over the Pats). But, is there any reason you can think of taking Celtics -140 when up 2-0 was not a wise move?