Boston vs Atlanta
There isn't much to say in this series. The only doubt in here is if Boston will sweep the Hawks or not. Looking at the regular season records of both teams, everything appoints to a sweep (Boston 66-16; Atlanta 38-44). But the differences are much bigger than it appears to be.
First of all, Atlanta
doesnt have any kind of experience at this level. Just Joe Johnson and
Mike Bibby have played playoff matches before and if during the regular
season, the team wasnt consistent and suffered a good number of
letdowns and unbelievable losses after being up by a big margin of
points, now imagine what can happen in a e playoff series against the
best team in the league, with just two players with previous playoffs
experience in the roster.
On the other side, Boston
doesnt have playoffs experience as a team, but most key players have
already several playoffs matches on their pockets. For example, Sam
Cassell has already two rings on his finger and the big 3 (Garnett,
Allen and Pierce) have separately went to conference finals. The team
during the regular season have already shown the necessary
intensiveness for this type of matches.
If we take in account what happened in the regular season, I have no doubts that Boston
will easily win this series. The Celtics have won the three games
between these two teams in the regular season. Even in the last match
in which the starters didnt play for more than 30 minutes, Boston still won that game, outscoring the Hawks by 25-15 in the 4th quarter of the game, after the two teams being tied at the end of the 3rd quarter.
The X factor of this series will be what Kevin Garnett can do against Atlanta and what Joe Johnson cant do against Boston.
In fact Garnett in the three games against the Hawks has averaged 23.7
ppg (30-48 62.5% FG) and 13.7 rpg in just 34 minutes per game. At the
same time, Joe Johnson in the same matches has just averaged 15.3 ppg
(16-51 31.4% FG) in 41 minutes per game.
With this, can Atlanta at least win a game and avoid the sweep? Because more than that would be a great sign for what Atlanta can do the future and a bad sign for Boston for the rest of the season.
Detroit vs Philadelphia
Even though there is a big difference between the two teams and from what they will achieve in this seasons playoffs, Philadelphia will come from this series with some momentum and good feelings towards Detroit. Even though this series in the regular season have ended 2-2, the Sixers have won the last two games, including one at Detroit.
Philadelphia
has shown in the last months of the regular season that they are
fearless, including on big games on the road, being the only team in
the league who was capable to have beaten Boston and Detroit on the road this season. This team is young and extremely athletic, which causes problems to Detroit in certain matchups.
Detroit in these last weeks of
the regular season has introduced their backups in the field with great
sucess, as not only theyve won games, as these backups have shown that
they can be useful to Flip Saunders if he needs a backup plan in the
playoffs. In the last three seasons, Detroit
in the first round of the playoffs has never allowed more than one game
to their opponents. This trend will be tested, as these Sixers are more
dangerous than any of other first round opponents of Detroit in the past first round series.
It will be extremely hard for
the Sixers to win on the road in this series, but at home it will also
be tough for them to get defeated. Philadelphia has managed to upset a lot of top teams on their home during the regular season.
Cleveland vs Washington
For the third consecutive season, there will be a series between the
Cavs and the Wizards. In the other two the Cavs of Lebron won them by
4-2 two seasons ago and by a sweep of 4-0 last season. But this season
it wont be that easy, as its the Cavs who are short handed right now
and not the Wizards. Pavlovic will be out and the most important is
that Lebron is limited with an injury, which puts him away from being
at 100% right now. Of course he will still dominate some games thanks
to his talent, but he will be in some pain during them.
We all know how important is Lebron in Cleveland
and besides that we are still yet to understand if the trades made by
the Cavs in mid-season really improved the team. Looking at the results
we are yet to see improvements, as the Cavs dont win three games in a
row since early March and for example they went 3-7 ATS in their last
10 matches in the regular season.
On the other side, the Wizards now with Arenas coming out of the
bench are a complete and tough to beat team. I really think there may
be an upset in this series. The Wizards have chemistry, as we have seen
that during the regular season, with the team being competitive even
with having an injured star all the time and now that everybody is at
100%, the Wizards will be even more competitive.
The series ended 2-2 in the regular season and both teams winning
their home games, which reflects how close this series will be. This
series promises to have a lot of games and for me it will be a surprise
to see this series ending before game 6 or even game 7.
Orlando vs Toronto
At least one of these two teams will have the chance of going further
in the playoffs than they did last season, where they were eliminated
in the first round. Last season Orlando got sweeped by Detroit
and the Raptors lost 4-2 with the Nets, so one of the teams will do
better than they did last season. The favoritism on this series is
clearly for Orlando,
however the difference wont be so big as the records of the two teams
in the regular season pretend it to be. Orlando finished the season
with a record of 52-30 and Toronto with a record of 41-41, but we all
know the Raptors have way more potential that what their record shows.
The series ended 2-1 for Orlando, who won a game at Canada, but this
series will be really close. In the matchups between these two teams we
saw two things: one of them is that Orlando cant stop Chris Bosh. And
the other one is that
Toronto
cant stop Dwight Howard. However there may be a new X factor. The
Slovenian Nesterovic is playing at his best level ever and he may be
capable of creating a slight edge for the Raptors in the paint. The PG
duel will also be very important. Nelson is a good point guard, but he
is yet to prove that he is top class level, while Toronto has two
completely different point guards. Calderon would be the better option,
as this guy ended the regular season with numbers of one of the best
superstars in the league, shooting above 50% FG, 40% 3pts and 90% FT.
Thats amazing and if Sam Mitchell gives him a good number of minutes,
he can make the difference in this series as he tends to make the
correct decision in the clutch situations. Just like in the Cavs vs
Wizards series, I predict this one to be very close and with lots of
games.