Let's go to Spain:
La Liga week-19 (major league)
*Tuesday January 2nd, ko - 11:00am (NY time)
Getafe ~ Rayo Vallecano =
Total Goals: 3 or 4
Odds @ +200
Reason for pick:
Both teams have BAD defenses and i really love Getafe -strikers, scoring 11 goal in last 5 week !
*Wednesday January 3rd, ko - 1:15pm
Celta Vigo ~ Betis Sevilla =
Game Parlay: Betis to win+UNDER (2.5)
Odds @ +550
Reason for pick:
Celta Vigo have failed to win 8 of their last 9 home league games while Betis Sevilla have avoiled defeat in 0/6 away La Liga matches.
Celta Vigo Will be without half of their regular starting line-up due to suspension and injury, and are at bottom of tablet !
*Wednesday January 3rd, ko - 3:30pm
Girona ~ Atletico Madrid = Girona ML
Odds @ +150
Reason for pick:
Girona's games are averaging 4 Goals per game. They've seen OVER (2.5) Land 82% of their matches this seadon. Atletico Madrid have the worst attacking numbers in the League on goals scored buy they're significante underperforming their expected Goals number, so could get some positive signs against One of the League's worst defenses.
Girona have player 2 other poor attacks at home and conceded 3 to Real Madrid and 1 to Athletic Bilbao.
Atletico have manager to score on poor defenses too. They put 2 goal past Getafe at home and didn't score against Barcelona & Athletic Bilbao on the road.
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Let's go to Germany:
Bundesliga week-17 (major league)
*Saturday January 13rd, ko - 9:30am
Augsburg ~ Bayer Leverkusen =
Total Goals: 4 or 5
Odds @ +200
Reason for pick:
Bayer Leverkusen are Top 1 and favs in this game. Their Goals per game sits at 3.48 and they've seen OVER (2.5) in 82% of their home games. Up against a poor attack in Augsburg that still average 2.83 goal per game at home bit only 1.92 goal scored per game.
Both sides concede over 2.00 goal per game. Augsburg have managed to score Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin Who both have similar defensive metrics to Bayer.
We may not even need them to score because this Bayer attack has faced 3 defense in the bottom 6 and put 3 past each of them including a 3-0 away win at Werder Bremen.
*Saturday January 13rd, ko - 9:30am
Leipzig ~ Eintracht Frankfurt =
Half/Full - Leipzig/Leipzig
Odds @ +105
Reason for pick:
Leipzig are and "all or nothing team at home with 6 win and 2 draw after 8 game. This clash against Eintracht looks a good chance for the hosts to add another to the win column as the visitors have lost half of their 8 trip, winning just two.
*Saturday January 13rd, ko -12:30pm
Darmstadt ` Borussia Dortmund =
Total Goals: 4 or 5
Odds @ +190
Reason for pick:
Both of these sides immense attacking talent buy are fragile defensively and also have defensive injury concerns.
Borussia have average over 2.73 expected goals per game over their seadson matches and will field a centre back pairing of Fullking & Malen.
Darmstadt have the worst season defense, averaging over 3.62 expected goals per game .
Borussia are well rested here and it's the first time in a while they have played in last week, which Is vital for the way they want to play. The problem for mr. Terzic (Borussia's coach) is at the other end where they're yet to keep a single clean shert in the league.
Both sides have scored in every home/away game.
Darmstadt have conceded 1 or more in 8 of their 9 home against top 5 opposizion.