Here are my picks for EPL Match Day 23.
I use a Poisson Process to model expected goals using data from fivethirtyeight.com to get probabilities.
- Norwich City/AFC Bournemouth Over 2.5 -135 - L
- Brighton and Hove Albion ML -167 - L
- Brighton and Hove Albion -0.75 -135 - L
- Wolverhampton PK +105 - W
- Manchester City ML -999 - L
- Newcastle +1.25 -135 - W
- Liverpool ML -250 - W
- Liverpool/Manchester United Over 2.75 -125 - L
My Match Day 22 picks went 7-2
Since I've started posting, my posted picks have gone 66.5 - 40.5 - 11
For the year the system has made 146 picks and has gone 101 - 52.5 - 13.5
Good Luck All!