1-3 RECORD
Jax was just the wrong pick, while Tenn was a great pick......Comical loss of the day is Det blowing a 15 pt 4th Q lead to Ariz
3 STARS- JACKSONVILLE +3.5 (-108) kc chiefs..............LOSS
This line is now painted 4...You have a top offense going against a top defense in Week 1. But this game is all about the other 2 units. I like what Foles brings to the table for Jax. Until he proves me wrong, this is my stance. He gets the luxury of a healthy Marquise Lee to throw and a Week 1 healthy Fournette. Jax OL has a bad year last season. Norwell, Linder and Cann had bad years in 2018 but they are better than they played. I think having a good QB will energize them...........On the other side, once again KC has a horrific defense. I didnt think they could get worse but on paper to me, they look worse. Take a look at this LB corp- Just gross. I think Foles will pick apart this D and Fournette will wear them down in the swampy humid heat of Florida. I think jax does just enough defensively to slow down KC...I think Jax wins outright
2 STARS- Denver +2 (-115) OAKLAND.....LOSS
You can probably safely play Denver +110 on the ML because I think they win straight up. I cant see Oakland getting much done offensively in this game...They have a rookie RB who will struggle behind an OL who will be missing Incognito, and Gabe jackson....That doesnt prove well against a very stout front 7 for Denver which includes Von Miller.........And Harris Jr is going to shadow AB who is oaklands only real threat. Im not a big Flacco fan, but ill back him when hes facing a bottom 5 D like Oakland
1 STAR- Detroit -2.5 ARIZONA.............LOSS
I am higher than most on Detroilt this year. I played their over 6.5 wins. I usually dont play many road favorites but I want to fade Kingsbury in his first game. There is a chance he really stinks. Murray will throw for a ton of yards this year but I think he will struggle early with the picks. Detroit's much improved DL should have their way Arizonas extremely weak OL and cause Murray to make mistakes. I wouldnt be surprised to see a pick 6 or a sack and fumble 6. Arizonas secondary will be weakened by Petersons suspension and safety Alford's trip to the IR and I am really high on detroits weapons this year with Golladay, M Jones and Amendola. I like Detroit by 7-10
1 STAR- Tenn +6 CLEV.....................WIN
Line is at +6 at sportsbook.ag. If you dont have +6 yet, wait a bit and you will get it IMO....There is something I like to do in Week 1, and that is to fade the most hyped team. It works pretty well. What makes this even better is that this will be Kitchens first NFL games as a head coach. To ask Cleveland, who is 1-18-1 SU in their last 20 openers to win by a margin against a gritty hard nosed team is alot to ask.. I see this game being a FG game...Only a 1 star b/c week 1 can be tricky
4 picks for week 1...I really LOVE Jax.....Everyone should be able to get +4 now