I'm confused as well. This line indicates Denver would be a 5.5 point favorite on a neutral field, or giving 8.5-9 at home. I have AZ as a slight favorite at home. Both coaches are on the hot seat and the loser could literally be fired after Thursday night. AZ coming off back to back road games, while Denver played the best team in the country close but at home which has a geographic advantage.
Denver is also really bad on the road.. While AZ has shown some life with Rosen at QB. He took over in the 4th quarter vs Chicago at home and almost lead them to a W, then would've taken Seattle to over time if not for a missed FG at the end. When AZ plays no huddle, they're able to move the ball. Their defense has never been terrible and think they are a little underrated due to their horrific offense when Bradford was at QB.
I like AZ here and may play it. My only hesitation is the Vegas line is so far off from mine that I feel like I'm missing something. Digging into the numbers, motivation, and other qualitative variables and still can't seem to figure out how they're a 2.5 pt dog at home. Hell, I may take Denver because of this HAHA!
Would love to hear any insight from someone who likes Denver here....