FYI.. it’s been a great season, and I think we will keep adding units.. but this win % is unsustainable.. please don’t lose control of your bankroll and bet the same way you were in week 1...
3* New England Patriots -10 -110 *WINNER*
Road team (Colts) on TNF coming off overtime game: 4-22 ATS since 1989, 1-16 since 2002. Indy also let the Eagles control the clock for 40 Minutes the week before. The Pats have dominated Indy, and have also had extra motivation against them since deflate gate. Even if NE doesn’t have Gronk, Indy without Hilton and Doyle is a HUGE loss. Don’t see any phase of the game where Indy has an edge. Colts likely without Darius Leonard and Kenny Moore as well. With the injuries, I have the game lined -11 or so with the Pats being in one of the best situations of the year.
Upgraded Pats to a 3*. Only third one of the season (Baltimore -3 vs Buf, MIN -4.5 vs SF)
2* Pittsburgh Steelers -3 -110 *WINNER*
- Atlanta has to travel on the road to play on grass after B2B fatiguing, down to the wire games, now missing stud DT Grady Jarrett to go along with an already depleted defense. Little bit of value off a key number for a Steelers team that historically has took care of business at home
2* Baltimore Ravens -3 -110 *LOSER*
- Shame on me for missing -2.5 -115 on monday, but I believe the line closes -3.5. No real power rating value but Bal has matchup edges in both sides, plus a huge coaching/intangibles edge. Can a 2-34-1 coach beat a close to elite team and coach?
2* Detroit Lions +2.5 -110 *WINNER*
- Rogue number that I got at a square shop but 1.5/2 is highly available. With the Packers cluster injuries at WR, the Lions have the clear better roster and I’d bet Detroit up to -1.
2* Arizona Cardinals +4.5 -110 *WINNER*
- Not the prettiest bet.. but the 49ers are DECIMATED from injuries at QB, RB, WR, OL, DB’s yet the line jumped 2 points from the look ahead line (2.5). Two bottom tier teams that my numbers say the line should be around a field goal.