All Stats Below are for games within 10 points at Half Time.
Here is how to understand this table:
R = Road, Home = Home
F = Favorite, D = Dog
RF-F means Road Favorite winning at halftime by less than 10 & Favored in the 2H
HF-D means Home Favorite winning at halftime by less than 10 & Dog in the 2H.
The % listed is % covered if you bet on the team that is winning at half time.
For example: RF-F (Road team winning by less than 10 at half, and favored in 2H), if you bet on them in the 2H in 16-17 season
you would only win 39% of the time. Therefore, you should bet the Home Dog in that scenario and cover 61% of the time.
The only 2 trends that show consistency over the years are RF-F and HF-D.
One may look at these trends and assume because they are more extreme this year compared to last year, it is possible that they will converge to the previous years averages, and thus you would want to bet against it, rather than with the trend.
I will leave that to you to decide ... I'm simply providing data trends.
|
2016-2017 |
2017-2018 |
2018-2019 |
|
W |
L |
% |
W |
L |
% |
W |
L |
% |
RF-F |
49 |
78 |
39% |
56 |
77 |
42% |
9 |
28 |
24% |
RF-D |
53 |
70 |
43% |
81 |
63 |
56% |
7 |
7 |
50% |
HF-F |
138 |
163 |
46% |
124 |
174 |
42% |
41 |
36 |
53% |
HF-D |
133 |
68 |
66% |
120 |
79 |
60% |
14 |
1 |
93% |
RD-F |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
3 |
25% |
0 |
1 |
0% |
RD-D |
164 |
125 |
57% |
129 |
141 |
48% |
39 |
23 |
63% |
HD-F |
4 |
4 |
50% |
5 |
8 |
38% |
0 |
0 |
- |
HD-D |
103 |
91 |
53% |
90 |
78 |
54% |
30 |
14 |
68% |