Thanks to 312, WT & Dank for stopping by. BOL this evening.
I make this a 5v11 matchup based on the L40. FLA ranks higher than BOS in 10/15 inputs. FLA ranks in the T10 in 10/15 inputs while BOS does in 8/15. BOS ranks in the bottom third in 4/15 inputs while FLA does in 2/15. FLA avg rank across all inputs is 9th while BOS is 12th. Bob ranks 6th (15.6) in GSAE while Swayman sits in 4th (18.4). BOS has had all of one day to recover from a 7-game series while FLA has been off six days. FLA is 42-15 (+13.8% ROI) over the L4 seasons on a rest advantage. Only COL (48-15) has a better record. FLA is 106-38 (+5.9% ROI) over the L4 seasons when their line is higher than -160. Of teams with at least 50 applicable games, only MIN (69-19) has a better record. Not that we have to worry about motivation in the playoffs, but BOS did sweep FLA this season. I would point out, however, that those 4 games were decided by a total of 5 goals and two of them went to OT. I like FLA to take advantage of a tired team tonight and get their nose ahead in this series.
Florida (-165)