Thanks to BAD, Mike, BT, AWR, 312, Frank, Poof, Spencer & TLF for stopping by. BOL this evening.
Plenty to like about this OVER tonight. MTL has been involved in several goal-laden games over the last couple of weeks. Their L8 games averaged a whopping 9.0 goals. MTL beat BUF 4-3 last night. When looking at an over, I'm always concerned when one team is on a b2b but MTL actually averages 0.3 gpg more when on no rest vs their season average (3.2 vs 2.9). PHI beat DET 3-0 Saturday. PHI averages 0.6 gpg more when they are on two days rest vs their season average (3.3 vs 2.7). When PHI has conceded fewer than two goals this season, their next opponent has averaged 3.9 goals. Before shutting out DET, PHI had conceded 24 goals in their previous 6 games. MTL L5 & PHI L5 have combined for 73 goals. When MTL is playing their 4th game in 6 days, the OVER is 7-1 since the beginning of last season and those games averaged 8.0 goals. MTL has seen the OVER go 8-1 in their L9 vs Metro teams and those games averaged 7.4 goals. MTL has seen the o6.5 go 14-6 in their L20 vs the East and those games averaged 7.3 goals. MTL has seen the o6.5 go 13-4 in their L17 vs teams with a losing record and those games averaged 7.5 goals. PHI has seen the OVER go 7-2 in their L9 played on 2 days rest and those games averaged 6.9 goals. PHI has seen the OVER go 6-2 in their L8 vs teams with a WP<41 and those games averaged 7.1 goals. The L4 H2H meetings combined for 32 goals. With no playoff pressure on either team, I expect a wide-open affair tonight.
Montreal / Philadelphia OVER 6 (-150)