Thanks to Summer, 22, LMB & 312 for stopping by. BOL this evening.
Over the L25 games, WSH ranks higher in 15/15 inputs. WSH ranks in the T10 in 14/15 inputs while VGK does in 0/15. VGK ranks in the bottom 1/3 in 12/15 inputs while WSH does in 0/15. WSH avg rank across all inputs is 6th while VGK is 23rd. Over the L25 games, I have WSH ranked 20 spots higher (4v24). If you look at the full season data, I have VGK ranked 15th but their team of OCT/NOV looks nothing like the team that will play tonight. They have 10 guys on the injury list and it clearly shows in their L25 games. To top it off, we have a nice edge in goal tonight with Kuemper ranking 15th (+8.7) in GSAE while Thompson ranks 60th (-0.9). I know Ovechkin is a gametime decision, but I imagine his projected status is already figured into the line. You know he doesn't want to miss his first game of the season and they have two days off before playing in COL so I'm betting he plays.
Washington (-110)