ComptrBob said:
Its a good thing in reality youre not going to get anywhere near 3K on a WNBA overnight anywhere or this could have been a bad day.
But as I alluded to days ago this looks like a fantasy posting by Fezzik hoping to catch lightening in bottle. Because there is no way no how anyone who is "betting like a pro" is getting those amounts down on those micro transaction 'markets'.
Not to mention that's supposedly 10K in action for the day. To adhere to any sort of money management system one would need a bankroll over 100K to put that type of action in simultaneously. Even then youre going to have 10% of your BR in action. Which it just so happens was all lost. So now that imaginary 100K is now 90K. So in reality bet size should probably be reduced (following any realistic money management strategy) because a 10% loss (I am sure for most people this would constitute a MUCH larger loss than 10%) is a major set back.
I know Bob isnt going to get into that. And he is simply 'keeping score'. But if you want to give this place a sense of reality and this BLAP program any sort of legitimacy these are very pertinent points.
Your comments are very much on point.
In the previous BLAP thread, a poster named "duchgeist" made wild claims about betting BLAP with an initial unit size of €5000 (~$6K) and, after winning, increased to €10.500 (~$13K). He had multiple outs, so he claimed he could easily get down these bets on all derivatives (Props, 1Q, 1H, RHE, etc). He has since disappeared from the forum.
In the initial Pregame BLAP specification, there was a 5 unit guarantee geared toward a client with a $200 unit size. Even this "minimum" bet size dictates a somewhat difficult task of getting $600 on the 3* WNBA overnight.
I have posted statistics from time to time on the percentage of props bets in BLAP so individual readers can do their own evaluation of bet sizing.
[/quote]
Yeah I wasnt sure what the 'official' wager size was. I thought it was 1K but now that you mentioned it I think the guarantee was for a unit size of $200. So maybe its a combination. So if the recommendation is 1K (now)then napkin math says a guy has to be up 25 (200 dollar) units to beat the guarantee. Thats why tout math is hard to follow. A unit size is 200 one place then 1K in another. But a person has to make 5 times their money back to beat the guarantee.
To be completely fair I will point this out. At least one bitcoin sports book does allow 4BTC bets on WNBA overnight. At current prices thats around 1065 per bet. Which can be hit again after the first bet goes through. But I know in 'major' sports when you hit a max bet with them they in the very least move the vig, if not move the spread slightly. But for sake of clarification a person could, with that sports book get the $600 for the 3 unit play with a $200 unit size.
I only know that now because I check (because of this topic). I just know most 'normal' have 200 (or less) as a max overnight bet limit. Not sure about Vegas, but I doubt its much different than offshore places allow.
Either way I didnt want to bring up all this micro detailing for you to explain I know you will more than have your hands full grading them in the first place.