Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams: TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.
HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.
BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.
POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.
To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:
Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).
To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:
Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does. Vegas Rankings – College Football Top 25
|
|
Hm Field
|
TRUE Power
|
Bettor Bias
|
Spread Power
|
1
|
Alabama
|
5.5
|
100
|
2.5
|
102.5
|
2
|
LSU
|
5
|
97.5
|
1
|
98.5
|
3
|
Oregon
|
6
|
94.5
|
0.5
|
95
|
4
|
Florida State
|
4
|
94
|
0
|
94
|
5
|
USC
|
4.5
|
93.5
|
0.5
|
94
|
6
|
Oklahoma
|
5
|
92.5
|
0
|
92.5
|
7
|
Texas
|
4.5
|
91
|
0
|
91
|
8
|
Georgia
|
5
|
90
|
0
|
90
|
9
|
West Virginia
|
5
|
89
|
0
|
89
|
t10
|
Kansas State
|
4.5
|
88
|
0
|
88
|
t10
|
Ohio State
|
5
|
88
|
0.5
|
88.5
|
t10
|
South Carolina
|
4.5
|
88
|
0
|
88
|
t13
|
Florida
|
5
|
87.5
|
0
|
87.5
|
t13
|
Notre Dame
|
4
|
87.5
|
0.5
|
88
|
t15
|
Stanford
|
4.5
|
87
|
0
|
87
|
t15
|
Nebraska
|
4.5
|
87
|
0
|
87
|
17
|
Oklahoma State
|
4.5
|
86.5
|
0
|
86.5
|
18
|
Clemson
|
5
|
86
|
0
|
86
|
t19
|
Michigan
|
4.5
|
85
|
0
|
85
|
t19
|
TCU
|
4.5
|
85
|
0
|
85
|
t21
|
Michigan State
|
4.5
|
83
|
0
|
83
|
t21
|
Virginia Tech
|
5.5
|
83
|
0
|
83
|
t23
|
UCLA
|
4
|
82.5
|
0
|
82.5
|
t23
|
Texas A&M
|
4.5
|
82.5
|
0
|
82.5
|
25
|
Boise State
|
5.5
|
82
|
0
|
82
|
Voters include Chris Andrews, with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience, and “Vegas Runner” – featured by ESPN and CNBC for his professional betting success.
RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com. Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas.