W Mich HALF +8.5 ** -120
W Mich GAME +14.5 ** -110
I like this spot for several reasons for W Michigan. First, we look at at Pitt. They were the sharp road favorite, beating and covering against a Tennessee team that isn't there yet. Pitt is also 2-0 ATS so a team I could see folks being excited to back.
I, probably like many used Killersports to look for trends and while I don't have this in front of me, I was listening and found that Narduzzi as a home favorite of double digits is not good covering the spread. I will see if I can find the number. Last time they were -14 at home vs NC State, they lost outright.
Then we look at W Michigan. A team many thought might be competitive with Michigan in week one, but were not. Something to consider when looking into that game,
Michigan had a long kickoff return to the 21, but W Mich held to a FG
Michigan had a punt return to the 31 of W Mich, which Mich cashed in for a TD
These two plays, which can signify a problem with W Michigan, tells me that the score was skewed in the first half, making it harder for W Michigan to compete in the second half. I am also under the impression that folks didn't know what to think of Michigan, and they seem better than predicted.
I think this will be a opportunity for a team in Western Michigan to put a scare into a Pitt team that doesn't perform well in ATS in these situations.
7-6 ATS posted plays.
Will add more later.
All the best