form email I got today. do what you want with it. just passing on.
Early Sharp Buys (0-1-1 for -1.1 units) – A loss last week as Iowa St did a great job in the stats, blowing away Iowa in that forum. Unfortunately, Iowa St also below Iowa away when it came to turnovers…and that was the difference maker. Time for a win! The Early Sharp Buy this week is on Middle Tennessee St +13.5 over UTSA. I am not familiar with either of the teams in any way to give you some insight into what could be happening here. When I look at this game though it is already a 62 on the TSP Live Radar and likely will be a 1OPEN on the LJP when the market achieves a key level of overall betting volume. Right now MTSU +13.5 is leading the way as the Early Sharp Buy! By the way, those in TSP Live wondering why MTSU doesn’t show up on the TSP Live Radar, the Radar doesn’t cover readings under 65. The level of 65 is seen as the lowest level for something to qualify as “material” sharp action.
Early Algorithm Look (1-1 for -0.1 units) – The Early Algorithm Look ended up “looking” quite ugly as UAB just got steamrolled. Let’s hope for better things this week. For the week ahead, the Early Algorithm Look is on Coastal Carolina -13.5 over Buffalo. The algorithm calculates Coastal Carolina at -18 over UB. So, a decent value situation here. Hopefully the value will pay off. Last week the first Sharp Consensus play of the football season, a Just Missed Premium Play, was achieved on Nebraska -13.5 over UB. Nebraska let the Bulls hang around for a while before opening it up late in the game (14-0 4th quarter) and getting the cover with a final of 28-3. However, it wasn’t so much that UB hung in there, but that Nebraska is just inept on offense. So, I could see why this number is a little out of whack. UB is getting some credit for quality. Coastal Carolina concerns me a bit because they beat Kansas by 27, but only out-yarded (not a word) the Jayhawks by 46 yards. So, that’s a concern, but the algorithm says it is no concern and the value lies with Coastal Carolina -13.5 as the largest value of the week!