Iowa +4.5 - 3 unit
This line is completely wrong and I believe this is all public perception after last week. Everyone was on Iowa +4.5 @ Michigan and they couldn't win or cover. They lost four turnovers. Even so, they held Michigan to only 10 points. Meanwhile, Penn State is blowing out two BIG Ten teams that were over matched and key injuries.
I believe Iowa City at night is one of the best night atmospheres in college football. Let's also add a little extra motivation for Iowa. Penn State has beat them the last five meetings. Last year, Iowa was a 6 point road dog (meaning this line would be 10.5 @ PSU this year,) and had some bad breaks and lost on the last play.
Two years ago, Iowa was between 8-12 point home dog to Penn St with McSorley and Barkley. PSU had to drive and win on the last play. McSorley punted the ball at the end. I think Iowa has extra motivation to beat this team.
This is Clifford's first big time road start. I will usually fade a QB in this situation. He is young and the atmosphere will be a challenge for him and this offense.With the under at 41, you have to like the points at home.
I would be surprised if Iowa was 3 or less by kickoff.
Houston +7 - LOSS
Texas +10.5 - WIN
Iowa State -10 - WIN
BU/ Texas Tech UNDER 58.5 - OT LOSS
As always, will add more thoughts to any game I post.
BOL moving forward this week to everyone.