These updated power ratings of mine are basically a Vegas rating as I would favor Alabama by at least 2 points over any other team in the country. In order to come up with a line on any game, all you have to do is subtract the two teams' power ratings and add around 3-points for home field advantage. For example, Ohio is at Buffalo this week. Ohio's power rating is 63.94 while Buffalo's is 56.90. On a neutral field, Ohio might be around a 7-point favorite according to my power ratings. However, if you give Buffalo around 3-points of home field advantage, my power rating on the game is around Ohio by 4 and that is close to where the current line on the game is.
I hope these ratings are just another handicapping tool you can use in prepping for the upcoming season.
Best of luck,
Brad
Rank |
Team |
This Week |
Last Week |
Preseason |
Diff |
1 |
Alabama |
99.90 |
100.40 |
99.90 |
0.00 |
2 |
Clemson |
98.03 |
100.53 |
99.54 |
-1.51 |
3 |
Ohio State |
97.10 |
94.60 |
88.60 |
8.50 |
4 |
Georgia |
94.01 |
93.51 |
93.01 |
1.00 |
5 |
LSU |
93.95 |
93.95 |
90.95 |
3.00 |
6 |
Oklahoma |
93.17 |
92.17 |
89.67 |
3.50 |
7 |
Auburn |
89.42 |
87.42 |
86.93 |
2.50 |
8 |
Wisconsin |
87.70 |
88.20 |
81.71 |
6.00 |
9 |
Notre Dame |
86.81 |
87.31 |
86.31 |
0.50 |
10 |
Oregon |
86.43 |
86.43 |
84.43 |
2.00 |
11 |
Penn State |
85.62 |
83.12 |
83.62 |
2.00 |
12 |
Florida |
84.20 |
84.70 |
86.70 |
-2.50 |
13 |
Michigan |
83.92 |
82.92 |
89.42 |
-5.50 |
14 |
Washington |
83.19 |
83.69 |
82.69 |
0.50 |
15 |
Iowa |
83.13 |
81.63 |
81.13 |
2.00 |
16 |
Texas A&M |
82.75 |
83.75 |
84.75 |
-2.00 |
17 |
Texas |
81.70 |
81.20 |
81.70 |
0.00 |
18 |
Utah |
81.68 |
80.18 |
81.68 |
0.00 |
19 |
Missouri |
81.55 |
81.55 |
81.55 |
0.00 |
20 |
Michigan State |
81.38 |
82.38 |
84.38 |
-3.00 |
21 |
UCF |
80.81 |
80.81 |
77.31 |
3.50 |
22 |
Oklahoma State |
80.38 |
78.88 |
78.38 |
2.00 |
23 |
Virginia |
78.54 |
78.04 |
77.04 |
1.50 |
24 |
Iowa State |
78.37 |
78.87 |
79.87 |
-1.50 |
25 |
Boise State |
77.55 |
77.55 |
76.55 |
1.00 |
26 |
Mississippi State |
77.14 |
79.14 |
83.14 |
-6.00 |
26 |
USC |
77.14 |
76.64 |
79.14 |
-2.00 |
28 |
Baylor |
76.91 |
76.41 |
76.92 |
0.00 |
29 |
Miami (FL) |
76.88 |
76.38 |
79.38 |
-2.50 |
30 |
Washington State |
76.78 |
78.28 |
78.78 |
-2.00 |
31 |
Cincinnati |
75.96 |
74.46 |
74.96 |
1.00 |
32 |
TCU |
75.68 |
74.18 |
78.18 |
-2.50 |
33 |
Minnesota |
75.57 |
74.57 |
78.57 |
-3.00 |
34 |
Kansas State |
75.08 |
76.08 |
70.58 |
4.50 |
35 |
Florida State |
74.96 |
74.46 |
80.46 |
-5.50 |
36 |
South Carolina |
74.76 |
73.76 |
80.26 |
-5.50 |
37 |
Arizona State |
74.57 |
73.07 |
74.57 |
0.00 |
38 |
Duke |
74.49 |
72.49 |
71.49 |
3.00 |
39 |
SMU |
73.82 |
71.32 |
64.32 |
9.50 |
40 |
Memphis |
73.53 |
74.03 |
74.53 |
-1.00 |
41 |
Nebraska |
73.30 |
75.80 |
79.80 |
-6.50 |
42 |
North Carolina |
73.24 |
70.74 |
69.24 |
4.00 |
43 |
Appalachian State |
73.22 |
73.22 |
73.72 |
-0.50 |
44 |
Utah State |
72.67 |
73.67 |
69.67 |
3.00 |
45 |
Pittsburgh |
72.13 |
73.63 |
72.13 |
0.00 |
46 |
Northwestern |
72.03 |
71.53 |
75.03 |
-3.00 |
47 |
Syracuse |
71.86 |
71.86 |
76.36 |
-4.50 |
48 |
Ole Miss |
71.49 |
70.99 |
72.99 |
-1.50 |
49 |
Maryland |
71.34 |
73.84 |
66.84 |
4.50 |
50 |
California |
71.29 |
74.29 |
71.79 |
-0.50 |
51 |
Indiana |
71.19 |
70.19 |
74.19 |
-3.00 |
52 |
NC State |
70.85 |
71.35 |
72.35 |
-1.50 |
53 |
BYU |
70.68 |
72.68 |
74.18 |
-3.50 |
54 |
Wake Forest |
70.64 |
71.14 |
69.14 |
1.50 |
55 |
Tennessee |
70.53 |
70.53 |
79.03 |
-8.50 |
56 |
Fresno State |
70.51 |
71.01 |
71.01 |
-0.50 |
57 |
Kentucky |
70.49 |
71.49 |
72.99 |
-2.50 |
58 |
Stanford |
70.40 |
71.40 |
77.90 |
-7.50 |
59 |
Colorado |
70.24 |
70.24 |
66.74 |
3.50 |
60 |
Air Force |
69.85 |
70.85 |
67.85 |
2.00 |
61 |
Virginia Tech |
69.48 |
71.98 |
78.98 |
-9.50 |
62 |
Arizona |
69.37 |
72.37 |
74.37 |
-5.00 |
63 |
Texas Tech |
69.14 |
71.14 |
73.64 |
-4.50 |
64 |
Tulane |
68.86 |
68.36 |
64.36 |
4.50 |
65 |
Army |
68.40 |
68.40 |
67.90 |
0.50 |
66 |
UL-Lafayette |
68.36 |
67.36 |
59.36 |
9.00 |
67 |
Louisville |
68.28 |
68.28 |
65.28 |
3.00 |
68 |
Temple |
68.03 |
67.53 |
67.03 |
1.00 |
69 |
Hawaii |
68.00 |
65.00 |
62.00 |
6.00 |
70 |
Boston College |
67.85 |
67.35 |
69.35 |
-1.50 |
71 |
West Virginia |
67.72 |
68.22 |
70.22 |
-2.50 |
72 |
UCLA |
67.55 |
69.55 |
77.55 |
-10.00 |
73 |
San Diego State |
67.01 |
67.01 |
67.01 |
0.00 |
74 |
Vanderbilt |
66.87 |
66.87 |
69.87 |
-3.00 |
75 |
Western Michigan |
66.54 |
67.04 |
65.54 |
1.00 |
76 |
Toledo |
66.23 |
65.23 |
63.73 |
2.50 |
77 |
Purdue |
65.51 |
72.01 |
73.51 |
-8.00 |
78 |
Southern Miss |
65.13 |
65.63 |
64.63 |
0.50 |
79 |
Marshall |
65.11 |
67.11 |
66.61 |
-1.50 |
80 |
Arkansas |
64.78 |
63.78 |
69.78 |
-5.00 |
81 |
Florida Atlantic |
64.24 |
63.24 |
64.74 |
-0.50 |
82 |
Ohio |
63.94 |
63.94 |
66.44 |
-2.50 |
83 |
Oregon State |
63.93 |
63.43 |
62.93 |
1.00 |
84 |
Wyoming |
63.68 |
61.68 |
60.68 |
3.00 |
85 |
Arkansas State |
63.22 |
62.22 |
64.22 |
-1.00 |
86 |
Illinois |
62.56 |
62.06 |
62.56 |
0.00 |
87 |
Louisiana Tech |
62.42 |
63.42 |
63.92 |
-1.50 |
88 |
Navy |
62.24 |
61.24 |
58.24 |
4.00 |
89 |
Troy |
62.23 |
63.23 |
62.23 |
0.00 |
90 |
Houston |
62.11 |
60.61 |
68.11 |
-6.00 |
91 |
Tulsa |
62.08 |
62.08 |
61.08 |
1.00 |
92 |
Northern Illinois |
62.03 |
62.03 |
62.03 |
0.00 |
93 |
North Texas |
61.42 |
63.42 |
61.42 |
0.00 |
94 |
Georgia Tech |
61.32 |
62.32 |
66.32 |
-5.00 |
95 |
Georgia Southern |
61.26 |
62.26 |
61.26 |
0.00 |
96 |
FIU |
60.22 |
60.22 |
65.22 |
-5.00 |
97 |
USF |
59.72 |
62.22 |
65.72 |
-6.00 |
98 |
Eastern Michigan |
58.65 |
58.65 |
58.65 |
0.00 |
99 |
UAB |
58.09 |
59.09 |
59.59 |
-1.50 |
100 |
Nevada |
57.86 |
60.86 |
60.86 |
-3.00 |
101 |
Western Kentucky |
57.74 |
57.24 |
58.74 |
-1.00 |
102 |
Miami (OH) |
57.68 |
57.18 |
60.18 |
-2.50 |
103 |
Ball State |
57.36 |
56.86 |
54.36 |
3.00 |
104 |
Middle Tennessee |
57.30 |
58.80 |
59.30 |
-2.00 |
105 |
Coastal Carolina |
57.23 |
57.23 |
51.73 |
5.50 |
106 |
Buffalo |
56.90 |
57.40 |
57.40 |
-0.50 |
107 |
Kansas |
56.53 |
58.53 |
57.53 |
-1.00 |
108 |
Kent State |
56.28 |
56.28 |
54.28 |
2.00 |
109 |
Rutgers |
56.03 |
58.53 |
58.53 |
-2.50 |
110 |
Charlotte |
55.93 |
56.93 |
53.43 |
2.50 |
111 |
UL-Monroe |
55.91 |
55.91 |
55.41 |
0.50 |
112 |
Colorado State |
55.21 |
54.71 |
55.71 |
-0.50 |
113 |
San Jose State |
54.86 |
53.86 |
51.36 |
3.50 |
114 |
Liberty |
54.55 |
54.05 |
54.05 |
0.50 |
115 |
East Carolina |
53.87 |
53.37 |
54.87 |
-1.00 |
116 |
UNLV |
53.67 |
56.17 |
55.67 |
-2.00 |
117 |
Georgia State |
53.46 |
53.46 |
51.96 |
1.50 |
118 |
Texas State |
53.19 |
52.19 |
53.19 |
0.00 |
119 |
Central Michigan |
51.49 |
50.99 |
49.99 |
1.50 |
120 |
Old Dominion |
50.73 |
51.23 |
48.73 |
2.00 |
121 |
Rice |
50.48 |
48.98 |
45.48 |
5.00 |
122 |
New Mexico |
49.23 |
49.23 |
51.23 |
-2.00 |
123 |
New Mexico State |
49.22 |
48.72 |
49.72 |
-0.50 |
124 |
UTSA |
46.91 |
47.41 |
49.41 |
-2.50 |
125 |
South Alabama |
46.04 |
46.04 |
45.54 |
0.50 |
126 |
Connecticut |
43.86 |
43.36 |
43.86 |
0.00 |
127 |
Bowling Green |
43.84 |
43.34 |
48.34 |
-4.50 |
128 |
UTEP |
43.53 |
43.03 |
44.53 |
-1.00 |
129 |
Akron |
41.23 |
42.73 |
48.73 |
-7.50 |
130 |
Massachusetts |
37.58 |
36.08 |
44.58 |
-7.00 |