These updated power ratings of mine are basically a Vegas rating as I would favor Alabama by at least 6.5 points over any other team in the country. In order to come up with a line on any game, all you have to do is subtract the two teams' power ratings and add around 3-points for home field advantage. For example, Nebraska is at Iowa this week. Nebraska's power rating is 75.67 while Iowa's is 82.2. On a neutral field, Iowa would be around a 6.5-point favorite according to my power ratings. However, if you give Iowa around 3-points of home field advantage, my power rating on the game is around Iowa by 9.5 or 10 and that is where the current line on the game is.
I hope these ratings are just another handicapping tool you can use in prepping for the upcoming season.
Best of luck,
Brad
Rank |
Team |
This Week |
Last Week |
Preseason |
1 |
Alabama |
105.80 |
106.30 |
96.80 |
2 |
Clemson |
99.54 |
99.54 |
96.04 |
3 |
Georgia |
94.18 |
94.18 |
93.18 |
4 |
Michigan |
94.01 |
94.51 |
90.01 |
5 |
Notre Dame |
90.25 |
88.75 |
87.75 |
6 |
Oklahoma |
88.83 |
90.33 |
91.33 |
7 |
Ohio State |
88.03 |
89.53 |
94.53 |
8 |
Mississippi State |
85.27 |
84.27 |
85.77 |
9 |
West Virginia |
84.94 |
85.44 |
79.44 |
10 |
LSU |
84.74 |
84.74 |
82.24 |
11 |
Missouri |
83.55 |
82.55 |
80.05 |
12 |
Washington |
83.26 |
83.76 |
90.26 |
13 |
Penn State |
83.07 |
83.57 |
88.57 |
14 |
Auburn |
82.77 |
81.27 |
90.27 |
15 |
Washington State |
82.69 |
81.69 |
72.19 |
16 |
Texas |
82.43 |
81.93 |
83.93 |
17 |
Texas A&M |
82.23 |
82.23 |
81.73 |
18 |
Iowa |
82.20 |
80.70 |
77.70 |
19 |
Florida |
80.68 |
80.18 |
81.18 |
20 |
Utah |
80.66 |
79.66 |
81.16 |
21 |
Iowa State |
80.31 |
80.81 |
78.31 |
22 |
Stanford |
80.18 |
80.18 |
86.18 |
23 |
UCF |
80.16 |
79.16 |
78.16 |
24 |
Michigan State |
80.05 |
80.55 |
87.55 |
25 |
Oklahoma State |
79.49 |
78.99 |
81.99 |
26 |
Boston College |
79.07 |
79.07 |
79.57 |
26 |
Fresno State |
79.07 |
79.57 |
72.57 |
28 |
Miami (FL) |
78.86 |
77.86 |
85.86 |
29 |
South Carolina |
78.47 |
78.47 |
80.47 |
30 |
Utah State |
78.38 |
79.38 |
66.88 |
31 |
Georgia Tech |
78.36 |
78.86 |
78.86 |
32 |
Wisconsin |
78.14 |
77.64 |
90.14 |
33 |
Boise State |
77.93 |
76.93 |
80.43 |
34 |
NC State |
77.90 |
76.90 |
77.90 |
35 |
Purdue |
77.75 |
78.25 |
75.25 |
36 |
Texas Tech |
77.56 |
78.56 |
75.56 |
37 |
Oregon |
77.48 |
77.48 |
81.48 |
38 |
Pittsburgh |
77.43 |
76.93 |
74.93 |
39 |
Arizona State |
77.27 |
77.27 |
72.77 |
40 |
Northwestern |
76.89 |
75.89 |
77.89 |
41 |
Syracuse |
76.42 |
78.92 |
69.42 |
42 |
Kentucky |
76.27 |
76.77 |
71.27 |
43 |
California |
75.81 |
75.81 |
75.81 |
44 |
Nebraska |
75.67 |
75.17 |
74.17 |
45 |
Virginia |
75.53 |
74.53 |
66.53 |
46 |
Duke |
75.40 |
75.40 |
77.90 |
47 |
Memphis |
74.76 |
74.26 |
76.26 |
48 |
Appalachian State |
74.65 |
74.65 |
65.65 |
49 |
Maryland |
74.54 |
73.04 |
70.54 |
50 |
USC |
74.38 |
75.38 |
84.38 |
51 |
Florida State |
73.54 |
73.04 |
84.04 |
52 |
TCU |
72.51 |
73.01 |
82.01 |
53 |
Ole Miss |
72.30 |
72.80 |
74.30 |
54 |
Vanderbilt |
72.24 |
71.74 |
67.74 |
55 |
Indiana |
72.13 |
71.63 |
72.63 |
56 |
Temple |
71.98 |
72.98 |
67.98 |
57 |
Tennessee |
71.55 |
73.05 |
70.55 |
58 |
Arizona |
71.38 |
72.38 |
78.38 |
59 |
Cincinnati |
71.23 |
72.23 |
59.73 |
60 |
Ohio |
71.11 |
69.61 |
69.61 |
61 |
Kansas State |
70.96 |
69.96 |
76.46 |
62 |
Virginia Tech |
70.78 |
71.78 |
80.28 |
63 |
BYU |
70.38 |
69.88 |
65.88 |
64 |
UCLA |
70.03 |
69.03 |
73.53 |
65 |
Colorado |
69.52 |
70.52 |
69.52 |
66 |
Baylor |
68.94 |
69.94 |
74.94 |
67 |
Minnesota |
68.83 |
69.83 |
70.83 |
68 |
Houston |
68.76 |
70.76 |
71.76 |
69 |
Army |
68.73 |
68.73 |
66.23 |
70 |
Wake Forest |
68.55 |
69.05 |
76.55 |
71 |
Florida Atlantic |
68.33 |
68.83 |
76.83 |
72 |
UAB |
68.07 |
68.07 |
61.07 |
73 |
San Diego State |
67.99 |
67.49 |
72.49 |
74 |
Buffalo |
67.62 |
69.12 |
62.12 |
75 |
Northern Illinois |
67.55 |
68.05 |
67.55 |
76 |
North Texas |
67.26 |
66.76 |
63.26 |
77 |
North Carolina |
67.19 |
67.69 |
71.19 |
78 |
Nevada |
67.12 |
67.12 |
61.62 |
79 |
Middle Tennessee |
67.08 |
66.58 |
67.58 |
80 |
Marshall |
66.90 |
66.40 |
68.90 |
81 |
Air Force |
66.60 |
67.10 |
61.10 |
82 |
Miami (OH) |
66.53 |
65.53 |
63.53 |
83 |
Arkansas |
66.15 |
67.15 |
73.15 |
84 |
Toledo |
65.34 |
64.84 |
68.34 |
85 |
Eastern Michigan |
65.29 |
65.29 |
60.29 |
86 |
Tulane |
65.19 |
66.19 |
62.69 |
87 |
Troy |
64.82 |
65.82 |
64.82 |
88 |
SMU |
64.70 |
65.20 |
62.70 |
89 |
USF |
64.65 |
63.65 |
69.65 |
90 |
Louisiana Tech |
64.45 |
64.95 |
66.45 |
91 |
Kansas |
63.97 |
62.47 |
60.47 |
92 |
Arkansas State |
63.96 |
63.46 |
66.96 |
93 |
FIU |
63.74 |
64.24 |
55.74 |
94 |
Wyoming |
62.38 |
62.38 |
65.38 |
95 |
Southern Miss |
61.35 |
60.85 |
58.35 |
96 |
Georgia Southern |
61.22 |
60.22 |
58.22 |
97 |
Navy |
60.50 |
59.50 |
69.00 |
98 |
Tulsa |
60.24 |
60.74 |
60.24 |
99 |
Oregon State |
59.61 |
59.11 |
59.11 |
100 |
Western Michigan |
58.97 |
59.97 |
63.47 |
101 |
Illinois |
58.73 |
60.73 |
63.73 |
102 |
UL-Lafayette |
57.79 |
58.29 |
51.29 |
103 |
Louisville |
57.68 |
59.68 |
79.18 |
104 |
UL-Monroe |
57.48 |
57.48 |
58.48 |
105 |
Hawaii |
56.33 |
56.33 |
48.33 |
106 |
East Carolina |
55.84 |
54.34 |
53.84 |
107 |
Old Dominion |
55.64 |
54.64 |
57.14 |
108 |
Rutgers |
54.95 |
54.45 |
63.45 |
109 |
Charlotte |
54.33 |
53.83 |
50.83 |
110 |
UNLV |
54.15 |
54.15 |
59.65 |
111 |
Western Kentucky |
54.14 |
53.14 |
55.14 |
112 |
Colorado State |
54.05 |
53.05 |
60.55 |
113 |
New Mexico |
53.41 |
54.41 |
55.41 |
114 |
Massachusetts |
53.37 |
53.37 |
59.87 |
115 |
Liberty |
53.15 |
54.15 |
47.65 |
116 |
Akron |
52.98 |
53.98 |
55.98 |
117 |
Coastal Carolina |
52.85 |
53.35 |
51.35 |
118 |
Ball State |
52.77 |
51.77 |
51.27 |
119 |
Central Michigan |
51.90 |
51.90 |
56.40 |
120 |
Bowling Green |
51.68 |
50.68 |
55.68 |
121 |
Kent State |
50.22 |
50.72 |
48.22 |
122 |
San Jose State |
49.25 |
49.25 |
48.25 |
123 |
Texas State |
48.82 |
47.82 |
48.82 |
124 |
Georgia State |
48.10 |
48.10 |
53.10 |
125 |
New Mexico State |
47.64 |
48.14 |
56.14 |
126 |
South Alabama |
46.98 |
46.48 |
52.48 |
126 |
UTEP |
46.98 |
47.98 |
45.98 |
128 |
UTSA |
46.05 |
47.55 |
55.05 |
129 |
Rice |
43.96 |
43.96 |
49.46 |
130 |
Connecticut |
41.92 |
43.42 |
52.42 |