In these big games ... I always look for a player prop that I can get behind. This one has a lot of juice (-180), but I could not believe that they set it so low. As always, they base the number on Season numbers, but it's a question of match-ups.
Renfrow is a possession receiver of the Wes Welker, Amendola type, in stark contrast to the high-profile WR burners whom Watson can throw to. Alabama will assign its best defenders to the burners and it will also be hard for Clemson to run on Bama - and so possession throws will be at a premium.
If you check the game logs - the tougher the competition (the harder to run and harder to throw long) - the more receptions by Renfrow. He caught five against OSU last week and he caught seven against 'Bama last year. If Saban can stop the run and stop the long and intermediate throws - he'll give up the short tosses to Renfrow. Over 2.5 ...... I'm on it.
Good Luck to all tonight .... should be a good one, a Classic.