Kentucky: Offense 116.6 (2nd), Defense 90.1 (14th)
Duke: Offense 114.5 (7th), Defense 91.9 (26th)
This is Kenpom's calculation of "all things" offense and defense. As you alluded, 'Tucky is slightly better team on both ends of the ball and line, imo, should be reversed to Kentucky (-3).
Lots of youngblood w/ Calipari, but cats known to get it up for big games. Early stubble w/ Mary has left some doubts about is this team waaaay over-rated; but #'s do speak differently.
OTOH, lots of love for coach K and good b-devil team; and ALWAYS the best coached and smart bright kids on the block.
Neutral, guess you can say even stephen - as really just one possession; but gree w/ you bout tucky - but not an alarm sounding difference.
BTW, I don't cap BB; but I look for this line to inch down a touch by gametime.
Hopefully, someone is better quipped to answer your question and knows of an injury of lifted suspension that could tilt this line? Otherwise, I TOO would be interested to see how Duke is favored here, b/c the #'s suggest cats by 3. hmmmmmmmmm.......