from sharp play email I got
Early Sharp Buys (2-3-1 for -1.3 units) – The Early Sharp Buy got another win thanks to Wisconsin finally coming through! Where is the sharp money going this week? The biggest Early Sharp Buy is Nebraska -3.5. I see this angle play out a lot. The angle being that a team looks like shit one week and then sharp money comes back hard on them the next week. Nebraska was a Book Position and failed despite multiple chances to finish that game and beat Michigan. Nebraska got the push or loss depending on when/if you bet it. Now here we are this week and sharp money is coming in strong on Nebraska as a road favorite. Usually not a position you want when a team was just demoralized in a loss at home. However, sharp money appears to feel this is a new week and Nebraska will roll. What intrigues me here is even at the current -3.5 the sharp money continues to buy. Usually once you get past -3 then the sharp money halts considerably. Obviously, money was stronger at -3, but the -3.5 is getting a decent bid too.
Early Algorithm Look (4-2 for +1.8 units) – The Early Algorithm Look got a win thanks to Akron! Akron was a sharp money killer in 2019, nice to finally cash a ticket on them. For the week ahead, the algorithm is showing the highest value as Indiana +4.5 over Michigan St. Michigan St has had some easy wins and Indiana definitely hasn’t had much luck. So, this is likely a situation of overvalued versus undervalued leading to value. The algorithm has Indiana as a +1 in this spot…giving the Hoosiers 3.5 points of value at the current +4.5. Let’s hope the value continues to pay dividends with an Indiana +4.5 WIN!! Sharp money starting to nibble on Indiana +4.5, let’s hope it’s a good thing.