A solid Friday night at 6-3. On a sweet run after my 1-10 day debacle. Glad I waited for that line to get to 7 on CS Northridge. I have had two like that on my posts, wish my wife picked on those days and I picked the rest, the record would be outstanding. In the green and winning more days than not, so that is all the matters. Took a horrible beat on the two team parlay today, but I got a couple late scrappy wins, so I'll take it. Gonna be a monster card so write ups will be limited.
WVU -4...St. Johns has played a weak as schedule, they are too sloppy to handle WVU press who comes in tested and ready to rock. L
Baylor -5...Zona has a some questionable key injuries, first road test. P...a **** terrible push, they were up about 10 points the whole god damn game
FIU -13...Unitl Kennesaw's new coach figures it out, I will be playing against them in many spots. Shit teams are blowing them out. FIU is playing well right now and actually playing a little defense this season. L...they looked like the right side for most of the game, then they got lazy at the end and let Kennesaw back in it
Lafayette -2...A well oiled offensive machine that has returned all 5 starters and they are jelling early this season. I had them moneyline vs St. Joes and they smoked em. Cornell has had trouble with 3 pt D, that spells trouble vs Lafayette who is bringing rain this season. W...game winning 3 baby
NC A and T Under team total first half 26...I don't trust Bradley's offense to get margin, but they are capable of breakout games, just too inconsistent on offense for Bradley to play the total, but their defense is always stout against lower comp. Badley good against 2's, which is nice because NC A and T can't shoot 3s. L...seems to be the theme of the day for my losers looking good all the way until it counts
Sacramento State/Cal Fullerton Under first half 57...Sac State is a sneaky good team with tremendous defense, odds makers show that with the spread as a being a very small dog as a big sky team on the road, both teams are offensively challenged, I see a grinder
Robert Morris/FGCU Under Under first half 59.5...the pace will be scary, but the offenses are **** terrible, don't watch, just expect they miss layups and wide open shots
Syracuse/GT Under first half, will play 61 or higher...no Alvarado against a zone D, I see GT struggling to figure it out early, IT CAME OUT AT 59 OVERNIGHT, NO PLAY
CU first half +5.5...I usually lay off first road tests, but CU has a veteran squad. Kansas hasn't played a game in 9 days and are coming a back from a big fat tournament win in Hawaii. This is a classic big 12 rivalry game that CU was clearly looking ahead to against LMU. CU has the inside defense to keep Kansas from dominating the paint. I think CU can hang tough with their defense and they have plenty of options on offense to hang with Kansas early as they try to knock off the rust.
Hawaii +19...Oregon has Michigan on deck, bad from the FT line, and they are on a long layoff. Hawaii can bang the 3 and hit their FTs. Oregon usually takes the air out of the ball too with a lead. I usually notice it more versus stiff comp, but with Michigan on deck, I could see them doing it to get the game over healthy and ready for Michigan.
Fresno State/Utah State Over 137...Utah State walked the ball up the court against SJSU. They were so disinterested in that game. The home court there is like funeral. They don't walk the ball up at home though, they are averaging a few extra possessions there and Fresno will run with. Fresno takes a lot of 3s which could **** me in this one if they shoot cold, but I noticed USU was letting SJSU take them. I also watched the game versus St. Mary's, they were allowing the outside shot too. I think that without that bad ass shot blocker they had last year, they are so worried about their inside defense, they are willing to let teams take the 3.
Xavier/Cinnci Under first half 64.5, gonna put a small one on the full game under just in case this one drops overnight and I don't get a playable first half line...I will be on this one as a double bet. This one will have extra intensity as both sides hate each other, not because they want to, but because they have to. It will be really physical the whole game. I expect a bunch of extra nervousness on the shots early while both defenses will be all out. Only way this one doesn't stay under is if I get ref'd in this one. This line is high due to Cinnci having good offensive numbers against weak defenses. That 75 pts per game is not gonna happen here against Xavier's awesome defense. This is gonna be a heavy weight match with every possession taken with a slower pace in importance.
Indiana PK...This line is wrong. I don't know if odds makers have been watching Wisconsin. I have watched about 3 games, none have been home though, so take that into account. They have no big man who can score on the inside. They turn the ball over more than they should, up 4% more per possession than last year. Their guards cannot guard anyone athletic. If I was the coach, I would go to zone versus anyone with any speed in the guard spots. They are suppose to have shooters, but they are hitting 29% from 3. They look lost on offense, their assists are down and there is no reason to play them. They will be lucky to make a small tournament at the end of this season. Wisconsin looks way down to me. Terrible line in my eyes. Only reason I won't go big bet on this one is that Indiana hasn't left the comfy home spot all season. Indiana beats Indiana in this game, not Wisconsin. If Indiana stays physical and pushes Wisconsin around, they will get this one no problem.
I am posting these now because lines may move, but check back later because I am still working on the card. More to come later tonight.