3-1 yesterday, 15-16 season. PW went 2-0(7-10 season) while BP went 1-1(9-8 season).
Good luck everyone!
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Ricky Dimon
Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: YRFI (-104)
This will already be the second meeting of the year between Kodai Senga of the New York Mets and Trevor Rogers of the Miami Marlins. In the first matchup last week both teams scored in the opening frame and they combined for 3 runs in total. Each pitcher had terrible control problems in the early stages of that game and the first inning could have been even worse for Rogers had a Starling Marte line drive not found the third baseman’s glove.
It’s hard to think that things will improve for Rogers. Brandon Nimmo is 4-for-13 lifetime against the left-hander with 2 doubles. If Jeff McNeil gets up with men on base, watch out. He is 4-for-11 against Rogers with 3 doubles. You have to like the Mets’ chances of scoring right away, but if the Marlins come up to bat with a 0-0 tie then hopefully Jorge Soler will contribute. The former World Series MVP doubled off Senga in the previous game to bring in Luis Arraez. It should also be noted that Arraez, the leadoff hitter, went 2-for-3 against Senga.
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Oakland Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays: NRFI (-118)
Jeffrey Springs was unhittable in his first start of the season for the Tampa Bay Rays. The 30-year-old lefty worked 6.0 innings of scoreless and hitless baseball (to go along with 1 walk) against the Detroit Tigers last Sunday. In the process he struck out 12 batters. Springs now faces an Oakland squad that is 2-5 and on 3 occasions this year has scored 2 runs or fewer.
The A’s are countering with Shintaro Fujinami. There isn’t anything good to say about Fujinami’s first start of 2023…except this: his first 2 innings were scoreless, and that came while working through the likes of Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels. Like the Angels, the Rays have never faced Fujinami. There could be an adjustment period the first time through the order.
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Kurt Blakeway
Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins, 2:10 PM ET – Luis Garcia vs Joe Ryan
This play is more about these two offenses rather than the starting pitching. Both Minnesota and Houston have struggled at the plate early in 2023. Through the first week of the new campaign, the Twins and Astros rank in the bottom ten in team batting average, wOBA, and wRC+.
As for the starters, Garcia is looking for his first win while Joe Ryan is 1-0. Despite Luis Garcia getting roughed up in his first start he did not allow a run in the first inning.
Take the NRFI in this matchup.
Pick: NRFI (-115)
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Texas Rangers at Chicago Cubs, 4:05 PM ET – Martin Perez vs Justin Steele
Justin Steele pitched an absolute gem in his first outing of the 2023 season. Over six innings he gave up just three hits and no runs while striking out eight. Steele is slowly becoming one of the better pitchers in the MLB. Dating back to last June, he has only given up more than three earned runs in just one start.
As for Rangers’ starter Martin Perez, he also had a fantastic first outing. Perez did give up eight hits but only allowed one earned run over 6.2 innings while striking out eight Phillies batters.
Combined Steele and Perez had an NRFI record of 46-9 in 2022, and they are off to a 2-0 start this season.
Pick: NRFI (-155)
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Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels, 9:07 PM ET – Jose Berrios vs Tyler Anderson
As I mentioned in my HR props article, Jose Berrios has not been good. Dating back to last season, Berrios has allowed at least four earned runs in six of his previous 12 starts.
In his first outing of 2023, Jose Berrios allowed eight earned runs on nine hits over 5.2 innings against the Kansas City Royals, including three runs in the first inning.
To make matters even worse for the Toronto starter, Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout, Brandon Drury, and Hunter Renfroe all have a career batting average of .400 or better against Berrios.
Pick: YRFI (-125)