I’m tired, but the afternoon games all went well. May the evening go as well.
LAA @ TEX
Starting Pitchers
8:05
|
SP
|
GS +
|
GS -
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
xERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
wOBA
|
xwOBA
|
K%
|
BB%
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
GB%
|
LAA
|
Ohtani - R
|
(4/6)
|
(2/6)
|
0.96
|
2.78
|
2.46
|
2.09
|
2.04
|
2.20
|
0.249
|
0.268
|
35.4%
|
5.4%
|
0.284
|
78.4%
|
39.0%
|
TEX
|
Dunning
|
(3/7)
|
(4/7)
|
1.25
|
4.06
|
4.03
|
3.27
|
3.26
|
3.52
|
0.290
|
0.337
|
23.1%
|
8.1%
|
0.292
|
70.8%
|
50.9%
|
Edge – LAA big
Ohtani v Dunning is a no-brainer. Ohtani’s simply much better and I’m riding hi,
Pick – LAA 1t 5 ML in a series of parlays
CHI WS @ KC
Starting Pitchers
2:10
|
SP
|
GS +
|
GS -
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
xERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
wOBA
|
xwOBA
|
K%
|
BB%
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
GB%
|
CHI WS
|
Giolito - R
|
(4/5)
|
(1/5)
|
1.13
|
2.70
|
3.42
|
3.76
|
2.66
|
2.49
|
0.308
|
0.313
|
35.2%
|
8.6%
|
0.296
|
95.7%
|
32.2%
|
KC
|
Greinke - R
|
(5/7)
|
(2/7)
|
1.17
|
3.52
|
5.30
|
3.42
|
4.72
|
4.98
|
0.296
|
0.379
|
8.9%
|
1.9%
|
0.292
|
67.9%
|
38.4%
|
Edge – CHI WS
This looks close, until you look at the metrics. Giolito’s xERA is 2 euns betterand so are his xFI{P, SIERA. His xwOBA is almost 70 points lower and his K rate is 26% higher. Greinke’s been damned lucky.
Pick – CHI WS 1st 5 ML in a series of parlays.