Monday, July 22
Marlins at White Sox Over 9 1/2
During their last three games, the Marlins have faced the following starting pitchers: Hyun-Jin Ryu, Clayton Kershaw and Walker Buehler.
Those three All-Stars can make any offense look anemic especially at spacious Dodger Stadium.
Things are completely different now for the Marlins. They get to face Ivan Nova and the White Sox at Chicago's Guaranteed Rate Field. So not only do the Marlins drop way down in the class of their opponent's starter, but they go to a good hitter's park that is especially offense-friendly during the humid months of July and August. The Marlins also get to use a DH.
Making all of this even sweeter for the Over is the weather forecast. It calls for wind to be blowing out to right at 17 mph.
Nova probably shouldn't be in a big league rotation. He is 1-4 with a 7.14 ERA in eight home starts this season. The 32-year-old Nova is in rough form, too, allowing 10 runs on 16 hits and five walks during his past two starts spanning 10 2/3 innings.
The White Sox should do damage against Trevor Richards. The Marlins have some intriguing young pitchers. Richards isn't one of them.
Miami is 0-7 in Richards' last seven starts. Richards has a 5.50 ERA during this time frame. He has failed to complete the sixth inning in each of his last six starts. So a bad Marlins bullpen likely is going to get stretched out.
This will be Richards' eighth career interleague start. He is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA in his first seven interleague starts.
I halted a seven-game baseball losing streak, my longest of the season, with a totals winner on the Over in the Angels-Mariners game Sunday. So I hope I'm back on the right track again as up until that rough patch, I had been enjoying a profitable MLB year. I have a Double Star sides play going today in addition to this free totals selection.
My early-bird football packages are now available. I am greatly looking forward to football season after finishing 27-5-2 in the NFL and 65-35 in college football. You can find all of my plays, packages and records here: https://pregame.com/pros/stephen-nover.
Best of luck and no bad beats!