TAKE CWS (-120)
With Lucas Giolito (3.21 FIP) on the hill, the only games CWS have lost since May have come against CHC and BOS. Well, Anthony Rizzo and Mookie Betts aren't walking through that door today in Kansas City. KC (.711 OPS) has one of the bottom 1/3 offenses in baseball. What's interesting is that CWS (.721 OPS) have been almost as bad. The difference is that they face the very mediocre Jacob Junis (5.33 ERA, 5.05 FIP). That is the mismatch of the game. The CWS also have the slightly better bullpen, so I'll save some juice and take them for the entire game.
TAKE HOU (-120)
Obviously, LAA have been playing great baseball lately. However, emotion can only take you so far with a lineup that could be be missing Mike Trout (calf), as well as the resurgent Tommy LaStella. The HOU bats got going in the TEX series and they are traveling to another hitter-friendly ballpark. I call the Canning (4.67 xFIP) vs. James (3.95 xFIP) match-up a push, at best for LAA...Griffin probably won't last more than 6 innings, then will give way to an average LAA bullpen. When James exits, HOU has a major bullpen advantage... HOU is 15-5 at Angels Stadium in Anaheim since 2017. Sorry, GG, but HOU possibly has an advantage in almost every aspect of this ballgame.