OAK @ TB
A quick small play
Starting Pitchers
12:00
|
SP 2019
|
W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
OAK
|
Anderson - L
|
(8-5)
|
(9/13)
|
(3/13)
|
1.38
|
3.98
|
4.57
|
5.10
|
5.39
|
4.85
|
3.36
|
0.87
|
0.257
|
0.277
|
75.10%
|
33.6%
|
51.4%
|
TB
|
Chirinos - R
|
(6-1)
|
(6/7)
|
-1.7
|
0.82
|
2.27
|
3.79
|
3.77
|
4.02
|
7.63
|
1.65
|
1.24
|
0.183
|
0.200
|
90.60%
|
37.1%
|
4.4%
|
Edge – TB
Bullpens
The A’s don’t have a bad bullpen, but it’s not good either. Last night Joakin Soria took them out of the game with a couple runs allowed in the late innings. By contrast the Rays have a really good bullpen.
Edge - TB
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
OAK
|
4.92
|
14
|
10.8
|
10
|
0.321
|
15
|
103
|
10
|
0.186
|
11
|
-0.7
|
19
|
8.9%
|
15
|
20.1%
|
4
|
7.4
|
17
|
TB
|
4.75
|
17
|
32.6
|
4
|
0.331
|
8
|
110
|
4
|
0.180
|
15
|
3.2
|
7
|
9.2%
|
14
|
24.2%
|
23
|
7.6
|
16
|
The A’s offense ranks around league average, but they do hit lefties well. The A’s are fourth in wOBA against lefties. The Rays, despite their lack of power, actually still rate as a top 10 offense. They make a lot of contact and put a lot of balls in play.
Edge – TB
Conclusion: The Rays ahave most of the edges here. They have the better offense and the better bullpen. As for the starting pitchers, Anderson has pitched well, and so has Chirinos. The A’s were able to win yesterday. They shook off the fatigue from a long weekend and some travel troubles to gwin a game, and I think that’s all they wanted. They just didn’t want to be swept. The A’s aare now guaranteed a .500 or better road trip with yesterday’s win. I don’t expect the A’s to be highly motivated today, but the Rays will be off that loss..
Pick – TB ML (-143 for 1 unit)
I apologize for the lateness and the brevity of this afternoon’s play. I kind of lost track of time
For what it’s worth, yesterday was a really crappy day. I posted 9 plays, cashing 2, losing 5 and pushing 1. I finished - 8.37 units for the day. That leaves me +24.29 units for the month, and +59.98 units for the season.
I can’t say that I was in a good frame of mind yesterday, I called my best friend who’s struggling with stage 4 lung cancer. He’s not doing well and it really saddened me because there’s really nothing that I can do to help him, except be there for him and lend moral support.
Stii, I don’t think that I can blame my poor picking on lack of focus. I think that I would still make the same picks today, or at least most of them.
My first loser was the Rays ML. I can’t really bitch about this one. It was a close game. The problem with the “opener” concept, is that teams use it because of a starting pitching weakness. They try to compensate by using an opener, a bulk relievers and other relievers. The problem is that the more pitcher you use, the more likely it is that one of them will screw up. Last night it was Emilio Pagen who gave up back to back HRs after an error put a man on. All of a sudden, a 2-1 lead because a 4-2 deficit. Funny, on Monday I should have bet the ML rather than the 1st 5. I didn’t and I lost. Yesterday, I bet the ML and lost, but a first 5 would have cashed. Sometimes shit just happens.
My second and third losers were the Yankees 1st 5 and full game. I was disappointed when they crushed the Mets in the afternoon game. I don’t like betting on a team in that spot, but I did and it cost me. What the hell is wrong with James Paxton? He looked like shit again yesterday. If I were a Yankee fan, I would be very concerned about the starting pitching. Severino won’t pitch until after the AS break, at the earliest. Sabathia’s got nothing left, Tanaka’s struggled. Paxton, the big new addition has sucked, and now they just put German on the IL. I don’t care how much they hit, they won’t win with the starting pitching they currently have.
My fourth loser was the Nationals. What the hell is wrong with Patrick Corbin? His numbers say that he’s pitched well, but every time that I bet on this clown, he gets blown up. Yesterday, he was given an early 2-0 lead before he ever took the mound. By the end of the 1st it was 4-2 White Sox. Recently Corbin’s been so bad that all he attracts is flies. In his last 3 starts, this guy gave up 15 runs, on 22 hits and 7 walks in just 12.2 innings, and that was against the Reds, Padres and White Sox, hardly offensive powerhouses. And I’m the dumbass who actually put money on this bozo!\
My fifth and final loser was the Dodgers. I never had a chance. Kemta Maida was absolutely atrocious. After getting the first two men out in the 1st, he promptly gives up a solo HR, hits a batter, walks the next batter, gives up a single and then another HR. All of a sudden it was 5-0 Angels and the game was essentially over. Maeda never gave the Dodgers a chance.
My two winner were the Cards, who beat up on the hapless Marlins, and the Twin who came back against the equally hapless Mariners.
Let move on to the rest of today’s card.
CHI C @ COL
3:10
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
CHI C
|
Hamels - L
|
(9-4)
|
(10/13)
|
(3/13)
|
1.20
|
3.24
|
3.61
|
4.00
|
4.29
|
8.58
|
3.36
|
0.81
|
0.219
|
0.270
|
75.1%
|
37.3%
|
53.3%
|
COL
|
Senzatela - R
|
(7-4)
|
(6/11)
|
(3/11)
|
1.53
|
4.95
|
5.56
|
4.97
|
5.44
|
4.95
|
3.75
|
1.50
|
0.283
|
0.294
|
75.0%
|
38.7%
|
52.3%
|
Cole has now tossed 10 good starts, including his last 2, as compared to just 3 poor ones. He has given up just 31 runs (28 earned) on 64 hits and 29 walks over 77.2 innings. Hamels has given up more than 3 earned runs just twice all season. His WHIP is solid and so is his ERA. Hamels’ ERA metrics are higher than his ERA, but not alarmingly so. His K rate has gone down, and the 29 walks in less than 78 innings is a concern as well. On the plus side, Hamels is limiting his hard contact, locating better, and generating an over 50% GB rate. One reason is that his changeup has returned and that’s a huge development for Hamels and that strong GB rate can only help at Coors.
Antonio Senzatela has now started 11 games for the Rockies, with 6 good outings, 3 poor ones and 2 mediocre ones. Senzatela has givern up 34 suns (32 earned) on 67 hits and 25 walks in 60 innings. When you’re giving up more hits than innings pitched, you’ve got a problem, and that’s before we even consider the 25 walks. 92 baserunners in 60 inning is just asking for trouble. That’s why Senzatella’s WHIP and ERA are both so very high and why his ERA metrics are right up there as well. Senzatela doesn’t miss many bats, and his 33/25 K/BB ratio is horrible, but at least he is generating GBS. Senzatela is a pitch-to-contact type and that’s always scary at Coors, but he does have that solid GB rate, so he keeps the ball on the ground and lets a strong COL defense do work. There’s not much else to like about Senzatela.
Edge – CHI C
Bullpens
The Cubs bullpen leaves a lot to be desired. The addition of Craig Kimbrel shouls, at least that’s what the Cubs are hoping for. The Rockies pen has been solid.
Edge – COL
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
CHI C
|
5.20
|
8
|
22.7
|
7
|
0.337
|
4
|
108
|
7
|
0.201
|
4
|
-3.7
|
23
|
10.6%
|
1
|
23.4%
|
16
|
12.2
|
5
|
COL
|
5.39
|
3
|
-49.3
|
24
|
0.326
|
14
|
85
|
23
|
0.191
|
9
|
-1.2
|
19
|
7.7%
|
23
|
24.2%
|
22
|
4.2
|
22
|
The Cubs hold most of the edges here, but the Rockies still have managed to average 0.19 ,pre runs per game. That’s what playing your home games at Coors will do for you.
Edge – CHI
Conclusion: The Cubs lineup is better than the Rockies lineup, and Hamels isa better starting pitcher than Senzatela. The Cubs should win this game. However Coors Field is the wildcard here. The Rockies play here all the time and the Cubs don’t. That matters. I’m still going with the better team, and that’s the Cubs, but Coors will keep this from being a big play.
Pick – CHI C ML (-127 for 1 unit)
TEX @ BOS
Starting Pitchers
4:05
|
SP 2019
|
W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
TEX
|
Lynn – R
|
(8-5)
|
(10/13)
|
(3/13)
|
1.34
|
4.39
|
3.17
|
3.96
|
4.02
|
9.56
|
2.59
|
0.79
|
0.267
|
0.345
|
71.2%
|
39.1%
|
40.3%
|
BOS
|
Porcello – R
|
(7-6)
|
(7/13)
|
(6/13)
|
1.41
|
4.86
|
4.69
|
5.14
|
4.88
|
7.30
|
2.92
|
1.46
|
0.265
|
0.296
|
66.1%
|
32.8%
|
40.2%
|
Lance Lynn has made 13 starts this season for the Rangers. The first one was awful, but the next three were all very good. That was followed by another bad start and then another quality start, then another bad one. And now Lynn has reeled off 6 more quality starts in his last 6 outingss. That’s 10 quality starts to just 3 poor ones. In his 3 poor starts, Lynn got pummeled for 20 runs on 27 hits and7 walks over 15 innings. Lynn has been slowly digging himself out of that early hole. In the 10 good outings Lynn has given up just 19 total runs on 47 hits and 16 walks over 65 innings. Overall, Lynn has an elevated WHIP and ERA. However his ERA metrics are about a half run better than his ERA, pointing to positive regression that’s already happening for Lynn. A BABIP that is 40 points higher than his career mark tells me that Lynn’s also been victimized by some bad luck. Lynn’s K rate is elite, but between the 84 hits and 23 walks in his 80 innings, Lynn is still putting too many baserunner on, but that’s about it in terms of pitfalls.
On paper, Rick Porcello still looks pretty mediocre. Porcello was much worse than mediocre in his first 3 starts as he gave up 19 runs on 22 hits and 12 walks over just 11.1 innings. However, since then Porcello has tossed 7 quality starts in his last 10, to just 3 poor ones. The problem is that 2 of the 3 poor ones were his last 2 outings. outings, Over that 10 game stretch, Porcello giving up 33 runs (29) earned) on 56 hits and 15 walks over his last 69.1 innings. His overall WHIP is still high and so is his ERA and ERA metrics, but they’re at least headed in the right direction. Porcello had really turned thing around before those last two outings just stopped him in his tracks.
Edge – TEX
Bullpens
I don’t think much of the Red Sox bullpen, but even so the numbers say that it’s better than the Rangers pen.
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
TEX
|
5.69
|
2
|
-16.0
|
17
|
0.334
|
5
|
102
|
11
|
0.197
|
7
|
6.2
|
4
|
9.4%
|
12
|
24.9%
|
26
|
3.8
|
23
|
BOS
|
5.26
|
6
|
21.7
|
6
|
0.334
|
5
|
105
|
9
|
0.184
|
12
|
2.5
|
10
|
10.2%
|
3
|
20.8%
|
6
|
10.2
|
7
|
These are two very potent offenses.
Edge – None
Conclusion: The offenses are both really good, and the bullpens are both unreliable, but of the two, the numbers give the Red Sox the edge. As for the two starting pitchers, Lynn is pitching really well. After a horrible start, Porcello was as well, until those last two starts against TB and at the Yankees, wher ePorcello got rocked for 9 runs on 17 hits and 2 walks in just 10.2 innings. I expect Lynn to pitch well and the Rangers to get a few off a suddenly struggling Porcello.
Pick – TEX 1st 5 ML (+122 for 2 units)
STL @ MIA
Starting Pitchers
7:10
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
STL
|
Mikolas - R
|
(7-6)
|
(7/13)
|
(4/13_
|
1.19
|
4.54
|
4.74
|
4.20
|
4.41
|
6.50
|
1.72
|
1.60
|
0.258
|
0.276
|
72.8%
|
37.0%
|
48.5%
|
MIA
|
Yamamoto - R
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last season, Miles Mikolas, surprised everyone with how ell he pitched. However, his ERA metrics were all about a full run higher than his stellar 2.79 ERA. That’s usually a sign that we should expect some regression the next season. This season Mikolas has started 13 games for the Cards, with 7 good starts and 4 poor ones. The good news is that 5 of Mikolas’ good starts and just one of his bad starts have come in his last 7 outings. Mikolas has a solid WHIP, but his ERA is high and so are his ERA metrics. Mikolas doesn’t miss bats, and he has given up 14 HRs. Mikolas is not pitching quite as well as he did a season ago, and that’s not surprising, nut he is still pitching fairly well.
Jordan Yamamoto will make his MLB debut for the Marlins tonight. Yamamoto was call up after the Marlins placed Jose Urena on the IL. Yamoto, the team’s #17 prospect according to MLB Pipeline was obtaine in the Christian Yellich trade. Yamamoto, 23, has played with the Marlins’ Double A affiliate Jacksonville all season, putting together a 3.58 ERA in 12 starts with 64 strikeouts to 25 walks over 65 1/3 innings. His last start was Friday, so he is on regular four-day rest heading into his MLB debut. The Brewers drafted Yamamoto in the 12th round of the 2014 MLB Draft out of Saint Louis High in Honolulu, Hawaii
Edge – STL
Bullpens
Edge STL
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
STL
|
4.64
|
18
|
-11.9
|
16
|
0.313
|
19
|
94
|
18
|
0.159
|
23
|
6.2
|
3
|
9.3%
|
12
|
22.2%
|
10
|
8.5
|
15
|
MIA
|
3.47
|
30
|
-83.1
|
30
|
0.278
|
30
|
75
|
29
|
0.112
|
30
|
-4.8
|
27
|
6.8%
|
27
|
23.8%
|
19
|
1.0
|
28
|
Edge – STL big
Conclusion: The Cards again have all of the edges here. They have the better offense by a wide margin, the clearly better bullpen and the obviously better starting pitcher. I’m not all that enamored with Mikp;as, but he has a least a legitimate track record, something that the career minor leaguer Yamamoto lacks. I bet this one first thing this morning, an as expected the line has gone up.
Pick STL ML (-150 for 3 units)
PITT @ ATL
Starting Pitchers
7:20
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
Poor
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
PITT
|
Keller - R
|
(0-1)
|
)/1)
|
(1/1)
|
2.25
|
13.50
|
4.40
|
3.56
|
3.60
|
15.75
|
4.50
|
2.25
|
0.368
|
0.545
|
39.5%
|
33.3%
|
16.7%
|
ATL
|
Soroka - R
|
(7-3)
|
(10/10)
|
(0/10)
|
0.87
|
1.38
|
2.70
|
3.51
|
3.81
|
7.85
|
2.34
|
0.14
|
0.169
|
0.219
|
79.9%
|
32.6
|
58.4%
|
Mitch Kelletr has exactly 1 MLB start under his belt. In that one start at CIN on May 27, Keller got lit up for for 6 rus on 7 hitsand 2 walks in 4 innings. He did strike out 7 batters, but that was about it for positives.
Mike Soroka has gone at least 5 innings in every one of his 10 starts, and has given up more than 1 earned run (3) just once. Soroka has given up just 14 runs (10 earned) on 40 hits and 17 walks over 65.1 innings, with an impressive 57 Ks, a 58.4% GB rate, and a 32.6% hard contact rate. By the way, he also has given up just 1 HR. It’s no wonder that his WHIP, ERA and ERA are all very good. It is true that his ERA metrics are all over a run higher than his minisule ERA, but they are still very good. It is also true that his low BABIP average points to regression for Soroka. As do his xStats. That said, even with some inevitable regression factored in, Soroka’s numbers are still exceptional. Yes there are arrows pointing to some regression, but aren’t we nitpicking a little? Hell, when he regressed two starts ago, he gave up 3 runs in 6.2 innings. BFD. Other than the 1his 17 walks, which might be a little high, what’s not to like, even with some regression?
Edge – ATL - BIG
Bullpens
The Braves pen is nothing to write home about, but the Braves have made so changes that seem to be helping. The Pirates pen is much worse.
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
PITT
|
5.07
|
12
|
-28.5
|
20
|
0.307
|
20
|
90
|
20
|
0.151
|
26
|
3.0
|
8
|
6.8%
|
27
|
21.9%
|
8
|
5.1
|
21
|
ATL
|
5.12
|
11
|
4.3
|
12
|
0.328
|
12
|
101
|
13
|
0.185
|
11
|
1.7
|
13
|
9.4%
|
11
|
21.8%
|
7
|
10.0
|
9
|
The Pirates have a well below average offense.
Edge – ATL – Big
Conclusion: This has all the earmarks of a Braves blowout. The Braves have the much better offense, and the much better starting pitcher. Hell. They even have the better bullpen. I’m all over the Braves tonight.
Pick ATL 1st 5 RL (-160 for 4 units) and full game ML (-205 for 4 units)
SEA @ MINN
Starting Pitchers
8:10
|
SP 2019
|
TeamW/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
SEA
|
Bautista
|
N/a
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MINN
|
Berrios - R
|
(11-2)
|
(11/13)
|
(2/13)
|
1.08
|
3.14
|
3.71
|
4.15
|
4.01
|
8.46
|
1.63
|
1.19
|
0.234
|
0.276
|
77.9%
|
35.6%
|
41.0%
|
Gerson Bautista is a relieve and I’m guessing he’ll be used as a opener. Bautistan has appeared in 2 gamews allowing 2 runs on 2 hits and 3 walks in 2 innings of work. Hardly impressive!
Jose Berrios has always had a ton of talent and potential. We saw definite flashes of how good this guy could be last season, but we never saw the consistency of a legitimate ace. So far this season, Berrios has been very good and pretty damn consistent as well, with 11 quality starts in his 13 outings to just 2 poor ones. Berrios’s WHIP and ERA are both very good, but his ERA metrics, while still decent, are all close to a run higher than his excellent ERA. There’s no need to sound the alarm just yet, but some regression should be exoected. His K rate is still solid, and Berrios is still limiting his hard contact.
Edge – MINN big
Bullpens
The Twins do not have a trustworthy pen. However, the Mariners pen is a train wreck, as they proved again last night..
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
SEA
|
5.14
|
9
|
41.7
|
4
|
0.329
|
9
|
111
|
4
|
0.213
|
2
|
4.7
|
5
|
9.6%
|
8
|
25.4%
|
27
|
8.8
|
14
|
MINN
|
5.97
|
1
|
68.2
|
1
|
0.357
|
1
|
124
|
1
|
0.242
|
1
|
-4.6
|
25
|
8.1%
|
18
|
20.1%
|
3
|
16.3
|
2
|
Edge – MINN
Conclusion: The Twins actually have all the edges here. They have the better offense, and surporisingly, the better of two weak bullpens. I also give Berrios a huge edge over Bautista and whoever. I bet this one this morning . The line has been going up all day
Pick – MINN 1st 5 RL -0.5ML (-160 for 3 units)
MIL @ HTN
8:10
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
GB %
|
MIL
|
Woodruff – R
|
(11-2)
|
(9/13)
|
(4/13)
|
1.17
|
3.87
|
3.09
|
3.43
|
3.50
|
10.90
|
2.42
|
0.97
|
0.238
|
0.322
|
73.9%
|
38.2%
|
41.5%
|
HTN
|
Verlander – R
|
(11-3)
|
(12/14
|
(2/14
|
0.74
|
2.40
|
3.48
|
3.68
|
3.31
|
10.57
|
1.83
|
1.35
|
0.150
|
0.172
|
89.9%
|
40.5%
|
35.1%
|
9tarting PitchersBrandon Woodruff has been the Brwers best startin pitcher this season. He mow has 8 good outings, including 7 of his last 8, and just 4 poor ones in his 13 starts. Woodruff’s WHIP is goo and his ERA ais solid, and his ERA metrics are even better than his ERA. Woodruff’s K rate is elite, and he’s limiting his hard contact and HRs (8). The 20 walks in just over 74 innings is a little on the high side, but that’s about it for danger signs. Woodruff’s pitching as well as he ever has this season.
Justin Verlander will take the mound for the Astros today. Verlander is elite. He’s already thrown 12 quality starts in his 14 outings, and just 2 poor ones. Verkander has a great WHIP, ERA and ERA metrics. He also has a speactacular 110/19 K/BB ratio, and opposing batters are hitting an amazing .150 against him. However, Verlander is a little HR prone having given up 14 so far this season. His .172 BABIP and 89.9% strand rate also look unsustainable and will almost certainly go up a little. Still, even with some regression, Verlander is having another great season.
Edge – HTN
Bullpens
The Astros have on of the best bullpens in baseball
Edge – HTN
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
MIL
|
5.07
|
12
|
17.4
|
9
|
0.333
|
5
|
105
|
9
|
0.201
|
4
|
2.4
|
11
|
9.9%
|
5
|
24.3%
|
23
|
11.6
|
7
|
HTN
|
5.18
|
9
|
57.5
|
2
|
0.342
|
2
|
119
|
2
|
0.204
|
3
|
-4.6
|
25
|
9.6%
|
8
|
17.5%
|
2
|
14.6
|
3
|
The numbers say HTN, but the Astros are missing three bts in their lineup. They did not need them last nihgt, but Woodruff should be tougher
Edge – HTN but snaller than the numbers would suggest.
Conclusion: The Astros don’t have really big edges here, but they do have all th edges.
Pick – HTN ML (-127 for 3 units)