The Sports Bettor's Manifesto
I am not a genius.
I do not possess a special power to foresee the future.
My ability to "predict" outcomes is no better than John, Joe, Jack or Jane.
My advantage is built on strategy.
My value is when probability meets price.
My long term out-performance will come from bank roll discipline & hours of research.
I will stay humble when I am winning & remember variance when I am not.
I will get back doored.
I will do the back dooring.
I am a Sports Bettor.
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"Danny mf'n Covers is the name... writ'n options & pick'n winners is the game."
- trade small, trade often
- focus on probabilities & price
- If you cannot statistically explain your positive expected value, you have no edge