NFL Week 7 and the Minnesota Vikings will travel to Orchard Park, New York to take on the Buffalo Bills. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on FOX. Current Vegas odds have the Bills listed as 5.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 43.
Analysis: The Minnesota Vikings come in at 2-4 on the year, including a 1-2 mark on the road. 3 Weeks ago they blew out Atlanta at home, but since that win they have taken on Green Bay on the road and Detroit at home and have lost both games by a combined 46 points. The Vikings 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on artificial turf, but are also 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October. The Vikings are a poor offensive squad that comes in ranked 27th in total offense, 30th in passing, 13th in rushing and 28th in points scored (17.3 ppg). The defense has been solid for the Vikes, as they come in 8th in yards allowed, 6th vs the pass 20th vs the run and 20th in points allowed (23.8 ppg).
The Buffalo Bills come in win a 3-3 record, which includes a 1-2 record at home. The Bills did start off 2-0 on the year, but have since won just 1 of their last 4 games and are off a bad 15 point home loss to the Patriots. The Bills are just 1-7 ATS the week after playing the Patriots, but they are also 11-1 ATS if they are .500 or better and playing at home vs a non-division opponent before playing the Jets. The Bills are also a poor offensive team, as they come in ranked 25th in total yards, 19th in passing, 22nd in rushing and 26th in scoring (19.7 ppg). The Defense has been solid for the Bills, as they come in 11th in yards allowed, 26th vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 8th in points allowed (21 ppg).
Pick: I like the Under in this game. Minnesota’s offense looked good in the first game with Bridgewater at the helm, but that was vs a bad Atlanta Defense and in the last two games they have scored just 13 total points. Now they will take on a Buffalo defense that is very tough this year and will pressure the young QB all day and not having a ground attack will really hurt this offense as well. The Viking defense has been solid, as far as ypg allowed are concerned and this Buffalo offense is not an explosive on, as they come in averaging just 19.7 ppg on the year. This should be a game played in the mid-30s at best.
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