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Joe Gavazzi
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Joe Gavazzi Win Streaks

  • 14-12 NBA Run Since 1/12
  • 9-6-1 in NCAA Tournament Picks
updated: March 21 at 12:18 PM PT

CFB WEEK ONE

This Weekend is featuring CFB  STEAMROLLER, PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME, AND UNDERDOG PLAY.    These selections were a combined 52-37 ATS (60%) last year.  
Mirrored Conversation:
Posts made and displayed below are also automatically displayed within a dedicated forum thread. Replies (in the forum) to that dedicated thread are also displayed below - meaning the conversation is mirrored both here and there.

Last 5 Comments

(Post Comment)

pro212
Wed, Aug 12 2015
1:14 PM
Sweet Run your on Joe
colgate
Sat, Jul 4 2015
8:28 AM
I purchased even though to much red. I'm a sucker for GOY's.
colgate
Fri, Jul 3 2015
2:18 PM
I would love to purchase but way too much red GL. Hope u win for everyone.
Joe Gavazzi
Wed, Mar 18 2015
12:08 PM

Always disappointing to hear about the repercussions of a down night on my behalf. Hopefully things turn around for you brother, hate to see anyone on a downslide. Best of Luck in the future, better times are ahead.

NCAA Tourney

Dayton, OH

Boise St. at Dayton (-4) 9:10 ET TRU TV

Free 1* Game - Dayton (-4)

The Boise St. Broncos travel to Dayton to meet the Flyers in this 9:10 ET matchup on TRU TV.  Though the NCAA works religiously to avoid home court advantage in this event, their seeding procedure and the fact they were locked into UD Arena for this matchup, has placed Dayton on their home court.  The game features one of the hottest teams in the NCAA against one of the few remaining CBKB undefeated home courts in America.  There are more similarities than not in this contest of small ball teams who aspire to cash this winning chip and move onto a Friday matchup vs. Providence in nearby Columbus, OH.

On December 20th, Boise was forced to respond to the fact that their lead scorer, Drmic, would miss the balance of the season with an ankle injury.  It took a couple of weeks for the Broncos to adjust.  But since a 65-54 loss at Wyoming on January 10th dropped them to 10-5 SU, 5-7 ATS (0-3 SU in MWC play), Boise St. has responded with a run of 15-3 SU ATS.   As such, they are one of the hottest teams in America.  Credit the play of Derrick Marks, who averaged 19 PPG for the season, for leading the turnaround.  When the Broncos lost to Wyoming last week in the CCT, they were happy just to hear their name called on selection Sunday.  This may be a solid road team with an 11-7 ATS away or neutral spread mark.  But, they are forced to play 2 time zones east at what will be a very strong venue, favoring the home team.

Dayton is 66-12 SU at their home arena L4Y.  This includes 16-0 SU this year with every victory by 3 or more point and an average winning margin by a score of 73-59 (compare to 64-63 away).   Shortcomings (pun intended) of this UD team include the fact they have but a 6-man rotation with no one in their lineup who is taller than 6’6”.  Along with their strong home court, they do feature the coaching of 4th year mentor, Archie Miller and the pedigree of appearing in the Elite 8 last year.  With experienced players, Siebert and Pierre, still in the lineup, they have plenty of experience on which to draw.

Major site advantage favors Dayton in this, along with their NCAA experience from last year.  Must back them at this price, as Miller figures to have an answer for Marks that will give the edge to Dayton at all positions on the floor!

FJCLEMSON
Mon, Mar 16 2015
8:00 PM
Sorry Joe, I picked a bad night to give you a try...hard to believe both a triple dime and double dime go down!!! Slowly going broke using pregame..sad but it was my choice..Anyway, best of luck to you!

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Fri, 09/04/15 - 10:15 PM Joe Gavazzi | CFB Side
free pick 159 Washington 12.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 160 Boise St.
Analysis: THE LONE RANGER CONTRARY PLAY OF THE WEEK is a companion selection to the highly popular and eminently successful PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME OF THE WEEK.  The P/R Game of the Week may be purchased individually on this website for $19.95 LONE RANGER CONTRARY PLAY OF THE WEEK … WASHINGTON Washington at Boise St. (-12) 10:15 ET ESPN Each week in this space, I isolate the CFB LONE RANGER CONTRARY PLAY OF THE WEEK.  It is a blend of statistical, situational and technical analysis that will result in an outstanding opportunity for you to cash a winning ticket.   At 10:15 pm ET, as televised on ESPN, the Washington Huskies visit the Boise St. Broncos in a battle of 2 of the premier programs in the Northwest.  Much has changed since the start of last year with this line.  In fact, were this contest to have been played at this site at the beginning of last season, the Huskies would have been a small road favorite.    When these teams last met, in the 1st game of the 2013 season, current 2nd year Washington HC Petersen was coaching the last of his 8 years as head man of the Broncos.  Washington, playing at home in Seattle, ruled the day in the final year of the Steve Sarkisian rein.  The final score was 38-6 in favor of the Huskies as 3 point home favorite.  One must wonder, if that did not play a small part in the decision of Petersen to switch ranks and become head man of the Huskies last season.    In so doing, Petersen led Washington to an 8-6 SU, 7-6 ATS mark.  But, the season culminated with 30-22 loss to Oklahoma St. in their Bowl game.  Now, Washington brings back just 10 RS from that team, is one of the least experienced teams in the nation and is in true rebuilding mode.  He takes this young team on their first road trip to one of the toughest venues in the nation (just ask Petersen, who was 48-2 SU at this site) with a young QB and offensive line.  There they will matchup against a Boise team, who returns 17 starters for exciting 2nd year HC Harsin.    Last year, Harsin proved his success at Arkansas St. was no fluke by leading a Boise team to a record of 12-2 SU, 8-6 ATS, highlighted by 9 consecutive victories to close the season, culminating with a 38-30 victory over Arizona in their Bowl game.  Fly in the ointment, however, is the loss of last year's starting QB Hedrick and OC Mike Sanford, who matriculated to Notre Dame.  The offensive transition may not go quite as smoothly as Bronco backers believe!      No longer are the flying geese plummeting to their deaths on the blue turf of Boise. I guess, they learned better since that first night.  But, it has not stopped the public from being in love with the notion of Boise, the Broncos or the Blue Field.  In fact, the public is all over the home team in this one, making you, me and the Lone Ranger the only one who are suiting up on the side of the road dog in this one!  Mush! Huskies!
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This one may shock your friends
UNDERDOG OF THE DAY WEEK Many underdogs get the money because of strong defense and running game. Other times there are false favorites. Joe uses his entire arsenal to find the Dog of the Day that may shock your friends.
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Will DOMINATE their opponent
STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK Every week Joe isolates (1) CFB who will DOMINATE their opponent at the point of attack and STEAMROLL their way to ATS victory over 60% ATS since 1990!
Sports: CFB; number of picks: 1
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Joe weaves his ATS magic
PERCEPTION / REALITY OF THE WEEK What you perceived in last week's game is not always the REALITY of this week.  Joe weaves his ATS magic through the wand of bounce back and letdowns for today's best play.
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Enough Said!
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Last 10 Picks from Joe Gavazzi
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09/01 MLB RunLine -1.5
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08/31 MLB ML -110 W
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