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Joe Gavazzi
  • Unmatched Career Net Profit (Winning high volume since 1979)
  • Former "Playbook" and "Power Plays" Newsletter Author
  • Sportsbk Consultant (Island of Curacao) now Judge Joe
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Joe Gavazzi Win Streaks

  • 17-14 in NFL Since 12/11
  • 7-1 NBA Run Since 1/12
updated: January 30 at 11:41 AM PT

A New Streak Begins

I'm back on the winning side of things in the Association after a solid win with Milwaukee last night. And, remember, this is your  Last Chance: My NBA/CBB Combo Access thru NBA Finals subscription. Deep Discount on EVERY basketball Best Bet. 
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Posts made and displayed below are also automatically displayed within a dedicated forum thread. Replies (in the forum) to that dedicated thread are also displayed below - meaning the conversation is mirrored both here and there.

Last 5 Comments

(Post Comment)

Joe Gavazzi
Wed, Jan 28 2015
2:16 PM

KDizzle, in the sole, isolated look between the two teams, very little. But with K chasing 1K, there's been a lot of commotion, and rightfully so, at the other end of Tobacco Road leading up to it, overshadowing the work a very talented UNC team has put together, that's all.

Onto the Free-Ones! Thanks to a dagger to my heart last night courtesy of a Western Michigan steal and subsequent tip in with ONE SECOND remaining, my 3* bet came up just short, my 3* Best Bet tonight comes to you on the house.

St. Johns (-1) at Creighton 9:00 ET FS1

3* St. Johns (-1)

At 9:00 pm ET, St. Johns visits Creighton in a Big East battle.  St. Johns enters this contest at 13-6 SU, 2-4 in Big East play.  Creighton enters at 9-12 SU, 0-8 SU in Big East play.  These 2 split a pair of home court decisions last year with St. Joes winning 70-65 in MSG, while Creighton carved out a 63-30 victory on this court as a 12 point home favorite.  But, this is a far different season for Creighton than was last year.

It has been a season in which Creighton went from the penthouse to the outhouse!  Last year, led by player of the year, Doug McDermott, the Blue Jays soared to the Big East crown and the round of 32 in the NCAA, where they lost an 85-55 decision to Baylor.  This year, McDermott, along with 3 other starters have departed.  Last season, the Blue Jays were one of the best offensive teams in the NCAA.  Creighton averaged 79 PPG on 50% shooting and 42% from the arc with 10 triples per game.  They had a 17.5/9.8 A/TO ratio.  This year, without those 4 RS, Creighton is averaging just 68 PPG, 42% from the field, 34% from the arc with only 13.9 assists per game.  As a result, this team enters tonight winless in Big East play with a recent record of 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS home record vs. lined teams.  This, on a floor, where they had previously gone 50-4 SU.  Over the weekend, things got even worse for Creighton.  They lost 2nd leading scorer, Zierden (10 PPG), to a knee injury.  He was averaging 40% on triples and 90% from the stripe.  Consider this to be the FCB (Final Crushing Blow) on a Creighton season, which will now disintegrate.  Expect no compassion from St. Johns.

When last we left the Red Storm, they were hosting Duke on their MSG home court in an effort to prevent Coach K from reaching his 1,000th victory.  With less than 10 minutes remaining in the game, St. Johns held a comfortable 10 point lead.  But, the 77-68 Duke comeback victory, left them without either the victory or cover.  At 2-4 SU in Big East play, they will be fully focused on getting this victory.

Look for St. Johns’ lockdown defense, which allows just 63 PPG, 39% from the field and 31% from the arc to add to Creighton’s offensive woes, resulting in a comfortable Red Storm victory.

kdizzle23
Mon, Jan 26 2015
2:25 PM
Quick question on your right up on the free premium play. What does Coach K's 1000 win have to do with the UNC/Syracuse game?
Joe Gavazzi
Mon, Jan 26 2015
12:39 PM

Texas at Iowa St. (-5-) 9:00 ET ESPN

Free 2* Game

Iowa St. (-5-)

 

Don't forget! My NBA/CBB Combo Access thru NBA Finals subscription ends SOON. Deep Discount on EVERY basketball Best Bet.

 

Each of these teams enters off a Saturday loss.  Yet, those defeats were to very dichotomous opponents.  The Longhorns got blown out in the 2nd half by a Kansas team, who proved once again that the Big 12 title still goes through Lawrence.  It was the 3rd loss in 5 games for the Longhorns, who have now lost by 21 to Oklahoma, 11 to Oklahoma St. and 13 to Kansas.  Can you say “overrated?”  Tonight, it will be the power and strength of the Longhorns on display against the speed and agility of Iowa St.  Combined with the strong home court of Hilton Coliseum, I favor the home-standing Cyclones.   Iowa St. was caught by surprise at Lubbock on Saturday.  It resulted in a 78-73 loss as double digit favorite.  Playing in Hilton Coliseum has a whole different vibe for this team.  For, it is here that the Cyclones are 57-4 SU 3+Y, including a perfect 10-0 SU this season with all but one victory by 5 or more points.  Again this season, 5th year HC Hoiberg, the “Mayor of Ames,” has an incredible offensive team.  They average 80 PPG on 48% shooting and 35% from the arc with 8 triples per game.  Most impressive is positives in rebound margin, TO margin and a 17.9/11.4 A/TO margin, featuring more assists than any team in the country.  Stay at home with the Cyclones tonight, as they blow away the Longhorns in another magical performance on the strong home boards of Hilton Coliseum.

Best of Luck out there, guys. 

13aces
Fri, Jan 23 2015
7:38 PM

That was easy!  Nice work.

Joe Gavazzi
Fri, Jan 23 2015
3:14 PM

[quote user="13aces"]

Change up the Karma and throw 2 picks out a day.

[/quote]
HA, that might do it. Tell ya what, since Colorado failed me last night, everyone gets my Best Bet of the day for free tonight as I promised. And if this ones a loser, too, then 2 Picks will be in here tomorrow. 

Charlotte Hornets at Cleveland Cavaliers (-9.5-) 7:35 ET

2* Cleveland (-9.5-)

 

The Charlotte Hornets visit the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight at 7:35 pm ET in a matchup of Eastern Conference rivals.  These teams have met twice this year with Cleveland prevailing 91-87 in Charlotte and winning 97-88 as 10 point home chalk on this floor.  Those results were before Cleveland found their groove. 

 

Charlotte was a 43-39 SU team last year, who finished 7th in the Eastern Conference playoff queue.  Even more was expected of them this season. But, they have languished at 18-25 SU, as they have suffered from multiple injuries to key contributors, including big man, Al Jefferson and PG Kemba Walker.  Each of those key cogs has returned to the lineup.  Charlotte enters tonight following 3 consecutive home victories, albeit against the likes of losing teams, Indiana, Minnesota and Miami.  Nonetheless, it is worth noting that the average score in those games was 88-76.  Though that streak lifted Charlotte to winners of 8/9, it is unlikely that streak continues tonight.  James’ teams have won the last 19 games against Charlotte, including playoff victories.  Must respect the fact that Charlotte is allowing just 97.3 PPG, among the league leaders in points allowed.  Simply do not believe they are going to hold down a Cleveland team, who is starting to gel.

 

Since the return of James and a 2-10 SU slide, Cleveland has gone 4-0 SU ATS, beating the Lakers 109-102, the Clippers 126-121, Chicago 108-94 and Utah 106-92.  That’s an average score of 112-102.  NBA chemistry is a fragile thing.  At last, Cleveland seems to have gotten it right!  The loss of Varejao for the season was clearly a negative.  As was the LeBron injury.  Some key trades seem to have righted the ship.  JR Smith is filling the role of the traded Waiters.  The acquired Mozgov is filling in nicely for Varejao.  In addition, tonight is the expected first game of Shumpert, another key piece to the puzzle received in the Knicks trade.  Those three will team with PG Irving, James and Love for a powerful and explosive offense.   

 

I give respect to the fact that Charlotte has played better in the role of road dog, where they are 11-5 ATS.  But, that is just 5-4 ATS when getting 6 or more points.  In addition, among the 4 consecutive Charlotte road wins have been victims such as New York, Boston and Orlando (the bottom feeders of the East).  Let’s ride Cleveland for at least one game before the prices begin to catch up with them

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