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Joe Gavazzi
  • Unmatched Career Net Profit (Winning high volume since 1979)
  • Former "Playbook" and "Power Plays" Newsletter Author
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Joe Gavazzi Win Streaks

  • 14-12 NBA Run Since 1/12
  • 9-6-1 in NCAA Tournament Picks
updated: March 21 at 12:18 PM PT

Complete Analysis Daily

Daily Top Play WINNERS with complete analysis from one of the pioneers of the sport industry. 

Mirrored Conversation:
Posts made and displayed below are also automatically displayed within a dedicated forum thread. Replies (in the forum) to that dedicated thread are also displayed below - meaning the conversation is mirrored both here and there.

Last 5 Comments

(Post Comment)

colgate
Sat, Jul 4 2015
8:28 AM
I purchased even though to much red. I'm a sucker for GOY's.
colgate
Fri, Jul 3 2015
2:18 PM
I would love to purchase but way too much red GL. Hope u win for everyone.
Joe Gavazzi
Wed, Mar 18 2015
12:08 PM

Always disappointing to hear about the repercussions of a down night on my behalf. Hopefully things turn around for you brother, hate to see anyone on a downslide. Best of Luck in the future, better times are ahead.

NCAA Tourney

Dayton, OH

Boise St. at Dayton (-4) 9:10 ET TRU TV

Free 1* Game - Dayton (-4)

The Boise St. Broncos travel to Dayton to meet the Flyers in this 9:10 ET matchup on TRU TV.  Though the NCAA works religiously to avoid home court advantage in this event, their seeding procedure and the fact they were locked into UD Arena for this matchup, has placed Dayton on their home court.  The game features one of the hottest teams in the NCAA against one of the few remaining CBKB undefeated home courts in America.  There are more similarities than not in this contest of small ball teams who aspire to cash this winning chip and move onto a Friday matchup vs. Providence in nearby Columbus, OH.

On December 20th, Boise was forced to respond to the fact that their lead scorer, Drmic, would miss the balance of the season with an ankle injury.  It took a couple of weeks for the Broncos to adjust.  But since a 65-54 loss at Wyoming on January 10th dropped them to 10-5 SU, 5-7 ATS (0-3 SU in MWC play), Boise St. has responded with a run of 15-3 SU ATS.   As such, they are one of the hottest teams in America.  Credit the play of Derrick Marks, who averaged 19 PPG for the season, for leading the turnaround.  When the Broncos lost to Wyoming last week in the CCT, they were happy just to hear their name called on selection Sunday.  This may be a solid road team with an 11-7 ATS away or neutral spread mark.  But, they are forced to play 2 time zones east at what will be a very strong venue, favoring the home team.

Dayton is 66-12 SU at their home arena L4Y.  This includes 16-0 SU this year with every victory by 3 or more point and an average winning margin by a score of 73-59 (compare to 64-63 away).   Shortcomings (pun intended) of this UD team include the fact they have but a 6-man rotation with no one in their lineup who is taller than 6’6”.  Along with their strong home court, they do feature the coaching of 4th year mentor, Archie Miller and the pedigree of appearing in the Elite 8 last year.  With experienced players, Siebert and Pierre, still in the lineup, they have plenty of experience on which to draw.

Major site advantage favors Dayton in this, along with their NCAA experience from last year.  Must back them at this price, as Miller figures to have an answer for Marks that will give the edge to Dayton at all positions on the floor!

FJCLEMSON
Mon, Mar 16 2015
8:00 PM
Sorry Joe, I picked a bad night to give you a try...hard to believe both a triple dime and double dime go down!!! Slowly going broke using pregame..sad but it was my choice..Anyway, best of luck to you!
Joe Gavazzi
Mon, Mar 16 2015
11:02 AM

OKC Thunder at Dallas Mavericks (-6) 8:35 ET

1* OKC (+6)

OKC travels to Dallas for this 8:35 ET tip against the Dallas Mavericks.  These two have met twice this season with the Mavs winning by 5 on this floor, while OKC prevailed by 15 north of the border.  Currently, Dallas, at 42-25 SU, is tied for the 6h playoff spot with LAC.  OKC, at 37-29 SU, trails Dallas by 4 games in the loss column for the 7th spot, while looking to fend off New Orleans for the final playoff position.  Currently, they hold a 1 game lead on the Pelicans.  With a Dallas starting lineup of Chandler, Parsons and Nowitzki on the interior, led by Rondo and Ellis at the guards spots, it is puzzling that the Mavs have wobbled of late, going 2-5 SU, 1-6 ATS prior to weekend action.  Not ready to believe that the 30 point home win over the Clippers on Friday night is a “buy sign” on the chemistry poor Mavericks.  Far prefer the OKC side, who with Ibaka and Durant out of the starting lineup, continue to excel.  Credit the savvy acquisitions of key contributors, Cantor at center, Singler at forward and Augustine at guard for helping to maintain the OKC winning surge.  Then there is also the fact that we have Russell Westbrook on our side, a triple, double machine, who is currently the best player on the planet. 

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Joe's Top Play for Friday night is a super-surger vs. towel-tosser. Yet, the value clearly accrues to our team at this near pick 'em price, despite a dominant home/road dichotomy This looks like the easiest winner on the board 

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07/31 MLB ML -110 -$220
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07/28 MLB ML 106 $318
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