#1: Please use proper money management. Whether you flat
bet my plays or play them according to the Unit ratings, PLEASE bet
within your means.
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Eastern Monday through Friday and Noon Eastern on Saturdays and
#3: PLEASE take a moment to tell your loved ones that you love
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20% OFF: Now through Thursday, my 7-day & 30-day packages will be 20% off. It's the best time to get on board. We've been rolling along in MLB & my football plays are coming. Don't miss out on this special deal.
Lost our only play on the Pirates on Monday. Vance Worley got them into a 6-0 hole in the first inning & that was all she wrote. I'd much rather lose in the first inning than in the ninth like we did the day before. Sometimes things can be going TOO well. That's what happened to me the last two days. In Sunday's analysis, I wrote how I rarely ever play the -1.5 run line in a game where the total is as low as 7. But we've been rolling for so long & I was feeling good, so I did it anyway. In Monday's analysis, I wrote how I almost never bet against streaks & I mentioned Pittsburgh's five-game losing streak. Here's where memory & emotion bit me in the butt. I remembered just the other day when Seattle & King Felix visited David Price & Detroit. My work put me on Detroit, but I didn't want to bet against Seattle's five-game winning streak, so I passed. Of course Detroit won. So yesterday I wasn't going to let Pittsburgh's current skid stop me. Big mistake. If there's a moral to this story, I guess it's that when you have a system that has worked for you over the years, don't deviate from it. That's not to say we don't evolve as bettors/handicappers & learn new things. But we shouldn't ignore certain parameters that we've used with great success over the years, no matter how much of a roll we're on. My College Football Season package is now available. This is the lowest price it will ever be & it won't last long. I'm coming off 64% CFB winners last season (including 70% on MAX BETS) & many of you were here at Pregame a few years ago when I nailed 20 football plays in a row. Take advantage of this lowest pricing now before it goes up. Thanks for stopping by & best of luck. DB
Lost our Run Line play on the Cardinals yesterday, as the bullpen gagged away a 7-4 lead with one out in the ninth inning. They held on for a 7-6 win, which did no good for us. I figured Wainwright would go at least seven innings and turn a multi-run lead over to the bullpen. At that point, we'd have at least one run to play with. That's how it played out. More often than not, the pen will do enough to hang on by at least two runs in that situation. I guess it just wasn't meant to be this time. My personal preference is to always bet the ML & not bet the -1.5 RL with a total as low as 7, as I mentioned in the analysis. In this case, given the info I gathered, I felt St. Louis would win the game seven out of every ten times they played it. That implies a money line of -233, so I saw substantial value in taking the Cards -190 or even -200. Normally, if I perceive there to be at least 20 cents in value, I'm making that bet. But in this business, one gets slammed for releasing plays with a line that high. After all, "anybody can do that." Sure, anybody can bet big chalk in MLB, but can everyone win over the long haul like that? No, but I've proven I do & I'm comfortable betting that way. In the future, I'll likely recommend a split wager (half ML / half RL) for those with a fear of high-juice bets. But I will clearly note exactly how I bet the play. TODAY (Monday) is the LAST DAY to get my NFL Season Package at the absolute lowest price you will ever get. You will receive every single NFL bet I make from the preseason through the Super Bowl, including every single MAX BET. I had a 57% NFL season last year & I finished #1 in NFL Units Won at sports-bettors.com in two of the last four NFL seasons. And I'm sure many of you remember my unmatched 20-game football win streak from 2009-10. Thanks for stopping by & best of luck. DB
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