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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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NBA Betting Odds Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Free Pick

Wednesday night NBA and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder, which will take place at Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised locally. Current Vegas betting odds have the Thunder listed as 4.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 216.5. 

Analysis:  The Dallas Mavericks are not playing good ball at the moment as they come in having won just 1 of their last 5 games, which includes a 5 point road loss at Indiana and an 18 point road loss at San Antonio in their last 2 games. For the year Dallas is now 45-29 overall, including 20-17 on the road, while being locked in to the 7th seed in the West. Dallas is 10-3 ATS the last 13 trips to Oklahoma City, but just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks have been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 3rd in scoring (104.1 ppg), 6th in shooting, 11th in 3 point shooting and 17th in FT shooting. Defensively the Mavericks have not been so good this year, ranking 21st in points allowed (100.9 ppg), 17th in defensive FG% and 26th in 3 point defense.

The Oklahoma City Thunder come home off a 3 game road trip, in which they went just 1-2 on. That lone win was vs Phoenix, in a game that they came back from 20 points down. Overall the Thunder have gone 42-32 on the year, including 27-9 at home and they currently have a 2.5 game lead over new Orleans for the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. OKC has gone 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win, but just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest. The Thunder have been a good offensive team this year, ranking 8th in scoring (103.3 ppg), 18th in shooting, 24th in 3 point shooting and 11th in FT shooting. Defensively the Thunder have been average this year, ranking 20th in points allowed (100.8 ppg), 2nd in defensive FG% and 10th in 3 point defense.

Pick: Going with the Under in this one. Dallas has not been scoring of late as they have put up just 93.8 ppg in their last 5 games, while on defense they have allowed just  97.5 ppg in their last 4 games. Dallas has not been playing many high scoring games of late and their road games have averaged just 201.9 ppg on the year. For the Thunder they have played good defense at home this year, where they have allowed just 98.3 ppg so far and their last 5 games overall have averaged just 204.5, while their home games have put up 204.8 ppg on the year. This line is just too high for this game.  

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