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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Major League Baseball Betting Odds Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Free Pick

Wednesday major league baseball and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals, which will be played at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for a 7:05 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.

Betting Odds

Cincinnati                    +139
Washington                  -149

Over/ Under: 7.5 U -115

This is game 3 of a 3 game series between these National League foes. The Reds took the first two games of this series, ihncluding last night's 5-0 win, in which Johhny Cueto threw a 2-hitter. The Reds are still 6 games under .500 for the year and 15 games behind the Cards in the NL Central. The Nats were starting to really distance themselves from the Mets, but they have now lost 4 of theri last 7 games and their lead in the NL last is down to 3.5 games.   

The Reds rank 20th in scoring (3.98 rpg), 20th in hitting (.249) and 6th in homers (94), while on the mound they are 20th in ERA (4.00) and 20th in WHIP (1.31). Washington ranks 9th in scoring (4.29 rpg), 13th in hitting (.254) and 11th in homers (84), while on the mound they are 10th in ERA (3.58) and 11th in WHIP (1.24).  

Getting the ball for Cincinnati tonight will be Michael Lorenzen, who is 3-3 with a 3.58 ERA in 13 games (11 starts) this year, while on the road he has gone 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA. Michael faced the Nats once this year and got a no-decision in that game, allowing 2 ERs in 6.1 innings of work. 

Toeing the rubber for the Nationals tonight will be Gio Gonzalez, who is 6-4 with a 4.16 ERA in 15 starts this year, while at home he has gone 4-1 with a 2.44 ERA. Gio has very good numbers vs the Reds as he is 2-1 with a 1.83 ERA in 6 starts vs them.   

Pick: Going with the Under here. Both of these offenses come in struggling as the Reds have put up just 2.5 rpg in their last 6 games, while the Nats have averaged just 2.57 rpg in their last 7 games. Gio Gonzalez has a 4.16 ERA overall, but he has allowed just 1 ER total in his last 2 home starts, while posting an overall home ERA of 2.44 so far. Michael Lorenzen has not pitched bad this year and he comes in with a 2.89 ERA on the road, with his road starts averaging just 6.8 rpg. Gio's home starts have averaged just 7.14 rpg this year. Gio also has a 2.23 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Reds, while Michael allowed just 2 ERs in 6.1 innings of work vs the Nats earlier in the year. Good pitching meets bad offense, which should keep the scoring a 6 runs or less here.  



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