Major League Baseball on Sunday and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the San Diego Padres and the LA Dodgers, which will be played at Chavez Ravine in Los Angeles. First pitch is scheduled for a 4:10 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
Over/ Under: 7 -110
This is game 3 of a 3 game series between these NL West foes, in which the Dodgers have taken the first two. Not a whole lot of scoring in the first 2 games as the Dodgers won game 1 by a 2-1 score and game 2 by a 2-0 score. The Dodgers are in first place in the NL West by 1.5 games over the Giants, while the Padres are 7 games behind the Dodgers and in 4th place in the division.
San Diego ranks 18th in scoring (4.14 rpg), 22nd in hitting (.241) and 19th in homers (37) while on the mound they are 25th in ERA (4.22) and 20th in WHIP (1.32). The Padres have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, but just 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Dodgers rank 5th in scoring (4.52 rpg), 8th in hitting (.258) and 2nd in homers (56) while on the mound they are 2nd in ERA (3.15) and 1st in WHIP (1.13). LA has gone 21-5 in their last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 53-25 in their last 78 vs. the NL West.
Getting the ball for San Diego today will be James Shields, who is 5-0 with a 3.74 ERA on the year overall, while on the road he has gone 3-0 with a 4.20 ERA. James has 2 no-decision starts vs the Dodgers in his career, posting a 4.15 ERA in the process.
Getting the ball for the Dodgers today will be Carlos Frias, who has made 4 starts this year, going 2-1 with a 2.82 in those starts, while at home he has gone 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in 2 starts. Carlos has faced the Padres 3 times in his career with all three times coming from the pem and he has allowed just 1 hit in 3 innings of work vs them.
Pick: I will be going with the Under in this game. Both offenses are struggling mightily right now as the Padres come in having scored just 3 runs in their last 4 games, while the Dodgers have scored just 6 total runs in their last 7 games. Two struggling offenses will meet some solid pitching in this one as Carlos Frias has an ERA of 2.38 in this 2 starts in his park, while James Shields is getting itv together, having allowed just 3 ERs total in his last 2 starts. These starters are not perfect, but these offenses have faced some weaker pitching than this at times of late and have still failed to score some runs. The Under is 21-10 the last 31 meetings and I see that continuing here.
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Sell the Chicago Cubs--At Least Sell Their Awful Bullpen
Pro bettor Steve Fezzik isn't saying the 2015 MLB Chicago Cubs team is hopeless, but he is pretty sure their pitching staff is. They may have some batting power in newcomer Kris Bryant, but the bullpen is looking mediocre when they should look abysmal thanks to the weather conditions at Wrigley Field, with cold wins blowing infield making home runs nearly impossible. Fezzik predicts once the wind warms up and starts blowing the opposite direction, the Chicago mound will be exposed as a bunch of pretenders, so look to bet on overs on totals once Chi-town starts to warm up.