Thursday night college basketball and we will see the Mississippi Rebels travel to the O'Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN Network. Current Vegas betting odds have Florida listed as 6 point favorites, while the total is set at 135.5.
Analysis: The Mississippi Rebels have been hot of late as they come in having won their last 5 games, which includes their last 2 on the road. This year they also have a road win over Arkansas and took Kentucky to OT on the road as well before losing the game by just 3. Ole Miss is now 16-7 overall and tied for 3rd place in the SEC with a 7-3 mark. The Rebels have gone 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-0 ATS the last 6 games in the series. The Rebels have been a good offensive team this year, as they come in ranked 37th in scoring (74.3 ppg), 160th in shooting (43.8%), 166th in 3 point shooting (40.2%) and 2nd in FT shooting (79.4%). Defensively the Rebels has been very average, ranking 184th in points allowed (66.8 ppg), 39th in defensive FG% (39.1%) and 155th in 3 point defense (33.5%).
The Florida Gators hung tough with Kentucky on Saturday, before finally falling 68-61 to the #1 team in the nation. Florida is struggling right now as they have won just 2 of their last 7 games, which puts their record at 12-11 overall and 5-5 in the SEC. Florida has gone 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, while the favorite is just 1-10 ATS the last 11 in the series. The Gators have not been a very good offensive team this year, as they come in ranked 218th in scoring (65.8 ppg), 136th in shooting (44.2%), 210th in 3 point shooting (33.3%) and 273rd in FT shooting (66.3%). Defensively the Gators has been very solid, ranking 29th in points allowed (59.7 ppg), 89th in defensive FG% (40.7%) and 170th in 3 point defense (33.6%).
Pick: Going to look at the Under in this game. The First matchup between the teams put up 143 points, but that was at Ole Miss and this game is at Florida where their home games have averaged just 124.1 ppg. The Ole Miss offense has been very good this year and they have averaged 78 ppg on the road, but they will not come close to that in this one vs a Florida defense that allows just 55.8 ppg on their home floor. Yes the Rebels have allowed 72.6 ppg on the road, but on just 38.8% shooting and they are facing a struggling Florida offense that has averaged 60.5 ppg in their last 7 games, scoring more than 61 points in those games. Florida recently played a home game vs run and gun Arkansas and just 113 points were scored in that game and after losing a high scoring game to this team on the road I fully expect them to slow his game down as well. 66-60 sounds like a good score here.
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