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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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NFL Sunday New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: Start Time, Odds, Free Pick

The surging Patriots will look to continue their winning ways today when they square off against AFC East rival Miami at Sun Life Stadium in South Florida (1:00pm ET start time, CBS). NFL Sunday New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins are firmly in the Pats corner with Tom Brady and his cohorts presently listed as -9 against the spread road favorites. The total in this afternoon’s battle between the Patriots and Dolphins is set at 51.5 points; Miami is getting +320 moneyline odds ($100 wins $320) in its home dog role.

New England got off to an uncharacteristic 1-2 start, but its season now looks very Patriot-like as the team sits atop the AFC East standings with an 8-3 record.

According to the latest odds, the Patriots record and already substantial division lead is set to improve with a win over the second place, 5-6 Dolphins. Given the line, victory seems all but assured; the only question is how bad Brady and company will embarrass Miami.

If recent history is any indication, the answer is pretty bad. New England has won and covered in four of its last five trips to Sun Life Stadium, beating the Dolphins by an average of 20.5 per game. Nothing about the way these two teams are trending would suggest today’s outcome will be significantly different than those results.

Miami, playing as a three point underdog, did post a 24-21 home win over Seattle last weekend, but it had lost three straight going into its meeting with the Seahawks. Conversely, the Patriots have won five straight games and they are 3-1 in their last four road games, producing double digits wins over the Bills, Rams, and Jets.

Still, it is difficult to go against a team getting all those points at home, especially when it has shown some flashes of decent to good play this season. Perhaps the better route in this contest is the Over. The average combined score in New England’s last five games is a whopping 67.2 points and the total has crested today’s mark of 51.5 points in eight of the Patriots last nine games.

Free Pick: Take the Over 51.5 points.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins NFL Odds:

New England Patriots -9 (+100), Over 51.5 (-110), -400 (Moneyline)

Miami Dolphins +9 (-120), Under 51.5 (-110), +320 (Moneyline)

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