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NFL Football Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Redskins Free Pick

Week 11 NFL and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will travel to FedEx Field to take on the Washington Redskins. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on FOX. Current Vegas odds have Washington listed as 7.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 45.5.  

Analysis:  The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are not having a good year at all as they come in with a 1-8 record, which includes a 1-3 mark on the road. The Bucs have lost 5 in a row since their shocking win at Pittsburgh and are in last place in the NFC South. Tampa Bay is 0-11 ATS off BB SU losses vs an opponent off a SU & ATS loss and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC, but are also 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 11.The Bucs are a poor offensive squad, ranking 29th in total yards, 23rd in passing, 28th in rushing and 27th in scoring (18.6 ppg). Even worse is a defense that ranks 29th in total yards, 31st vs the pass, 18th vs the run and 31st in points allowed (30.2 ppg).

The Washington Redskins have not had a good year so far as they come in with a 3-6 record, which has them in a last place tie with the New York Giants in the NFC East. The Skins have been okay at home with a 2-2 record. Washington is 8-2 ATS as favorites with rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11, but are also 3-16 ATS at home vs a sub .500 non-division opponent. Washington has not had many issues moving the ball, ranking 7th in total yards and 6th in passing, but scoring has been an issue as they are 19th in scoring at 21.9 ppg. The defense hasn't been terribly bad, as they rank 10th in yards allowed 6th vs the pass, 14th vs the run and 23rd in points allowed (25.4 ppg).

Pick: I will be looking at the Over in this game. I know that Tampa Offense is pretty weak, but it is better with Josh McCown at the helm and they have averaged 22 ppg on the road for the year. The Washington defense has not allowed a ton of yards and they are 6 th in the league vs the pass, but still they have allowed 25.4 ppg. Offensively the Skins have put up allot of yards, but just 21.9 ppg. I think that their offense will get more points in this one with RG3 back at the helm. This offense will get their points in this one vs a Tampa Defense that has allowed 30.2 ppg overall and 35 ppg on the road. Both teams need to come up with wins, so I expect both to just let it all hang out in what should be a good offensive game.  


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