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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Basketball Betting Odds Texas Southern Tigers vs Arizona Wildcats Free Pick

Today the Texas Southern Tigers will do battle with the Arizona Wildcats at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. The game has a start time of 2:10 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on TNT. Current Vegas betting odds have the Wildcats listed as 23.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 134. 

Analysis: The Texas Southern come in having won the SWAC tournament, while also taking the regular season title in the SWAC as well. Overall the Tigers have gone 22-10 on the year and will be making their 2nd trip to the NCAA Tournament in a row and their 6th overall. Texas Southern has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, but just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. The Tigers have been a very average offensive team, as they come in ranked 156th in scoring (68.2 ppg), 118th in shooting (44.4%), 272nd in 3 point shooting (32.0%) and 276th in FT shooting (66.2%). Defensively the Tigers have been a bit below average this year, ranking 197th in points allowed (67.4 ppg), 234th in defensive FG% (44.0%) and 179th in 3 point defense (34.2%). 

The Arizona Wildcats have won 11 games in a row, which includes winning all 3 games in the Pac-12 Tournament. The Cats are now 31-3 overall and just missed out on grabbing one of the four number 1 seeds in the Big Dance. Still they are a Number 2 and will be playing in their 32nd NCAA Tournament, which includes 4 trips to the Final 4 and 1 National Title. Arizona has gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. The Wildcats have been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 22nd in scoring (76.4 ppg), 6th in shooting (48.9%), 98th in 3 point shooting (36.0%) and 144th in FT shooting (69.9%). Defensively the Wildcats have been very good this year, ranking 17th in points allowed (58.9 ppg), 28th in defensive FG% (39.2%) and 93rd in 3 point defense (32.5%). 

Pick:  Going with the Under here. The Tigers are not a good shooting team and I can't see that improving vs tyhis very Tough Arizona defense that is 28th in the nation in FG% defense. The Cats can score, but they will also take the foot off the gas once they get up big, and they will get up big. They know this is a long tournament and will need to conserve energy for the long haul. I look for a 75-52 final score here.  

 

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MovieHandicapping Tips: NCAA Tournament Round 1
Steve Fezzik and Teddy Covers from Pregame.com give some insight and tips on handicapping the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament.

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