Tuesday night in the NBA I will have a free pick in the game between the Washington Wizards and the Indiana Pacers, which will take place at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on TNT. Current Vegas betting odds have the Pacers listed as 7 point favorites, while the total is set at 192.5.
Analysis: The Washington Wizards come in having won 4 of the last 5 games. The Wizards are now 45-34 overall and are locked in to the 5th seed in the East. Washington has struggled some on the road, where they are 17-22 on the year. The dog has gone 9-1 the last 10 in the series, but the Wizards are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Wizards have been slightly below average on offense this year, ranking 19th in scoring (98.3 ppg), 5th in shooting, 9th in 3 point shooting and 21st in FT shooting. Defensively the Wizards have solid this this year, ranking 8th in points allowed (97.6 ppg), 2nd in defensive FG% and 13th in 3 point defense.
The Indiana Pacers are fighting for a playoff spot as they currently sit 1 game behind both Boston and Brooklyn for the 8th and final playoff spot in the East. The Pacers have been on a roll of last they have won their last 4 games in a row, but still overall they are 36-43, including 21-18 at home. The Pacers have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, but just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Tuesday games. The Pacers have been poor offensive team this year, ranking 24th in scoring (97.3 ppg), 23rd in shooting, 12th in 3 point shooting and 14th in FT shooting. Defensively the Pacers have been very solid this year, ranking 5th in points allowed (97.0 ppg), 3rd in defensive FG% and 12th in 3 point defense.
Pick: Going with the Under here as this has been a really low scoring series of late. Back on March 25th the teams put up 204 combined points, but prior to that game no more than 190 points were scored in the previous 7 games and the game that put up 190 points needed OT to do so. We note that the last 10 games in this series has averaged just 178.3 ppg (Regulation) and the last 4 played here between these teams have put up just 183.5 ppg. Both of these teams have played very good defense this year as the Wizards are 8th in points allowed, while the Pacers are 5th. Indiana has allowed just 95.8 ppg at home, while Washington has scored just 94.4 ppg on the road. The Indiana offense has been good of late, but this Washington defense has been very tough of late, allowing just 94.3 ppg in their last 6 games. Hard to see more than 185 points in this one.
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