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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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NBA Thursday Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets: Game Analysis, Odds, Free Pick

Today on the NBA, we will see the Boston Celtics travel to take on the Brooklyn Nets in an exciting contest. The game is scheduled for an 8:00 pm start time and it will be televised live on TNT. Currently the odds for the game have the Nets favored by 4,5 points, while the totals line is set at 190 points. Opening lines had the Nets favored by 3 points, while the totals line was set at 193 points.

Game Analysis: Boston had a tight win last night against Utah, in a game where they had to play without Rajon Rondo for most of the second half. However, the Celtics finally saw their bench having a good game, with Leandro Barbosa, Courtney Lee, Jeff Green and Chris Wilcox! The problem for the Celtics tonight is indeed the back to back spot, besides the fact that Rajon Rondo is questionable for tonight. We all know that the Celtics are a jump shooting team while being a bad offensive rebound team at the same time. In fact, they are the worst team on offensive rebounding in the league! They are #1 on volume from 16-23 feet with 32.8%, but fortunately, due to their good ball movement, they get nice looks and they have a good FG%! The problem is their bad physical spot for tonight and when they have tired legs, the percentages go down big time! This has already been seen a lot this season and with possibly Rajon Rondo having to miss this game, the team loses a lot, as Rondo knows exactly whose teammates are on the right spots to shoot the ball.

On the other side, we have Brooklyn's red hot offense. They are 3-0 on their last three games, but they defeated a shorthanded Orlando twice and on their last game, they defeated Cleveland, who is by far the worst defensive team on the league with a horrible 112.45 defensive rate! Cleveland's rim defense has been historically bad and even Brooklyn had a rare nice rim offense game with 22-29 FG! This isn't usual in them, as they are one of the teams with less FG attempts at the rim in the league, something that benefits Boston's defense.

Until now, the Nets have been one of the teams with the slowest pace in the league (#28 with 88.71). I believe Boston won't mind playing a half court game on this poor physical spot for them tonight. Brooklyn will feel bigger offensive problems tonight than they had against Orlando twice and Cleveland, while Boston will also struggle in being so effective on their long range shooting on a poor physical spot for them. Therefore, I expect a slow paced game in here with both teams showing problems on offense, so I'll be taking the Under in here.

Free Pick: Take the Under 190 in here (Single Dime Play)

For more great content on the NBA check my NBA Daily Thread and follow me @gomescapper via twitter. For more information about today's NBA Card, check also my Pregame Pros Page!

By the way, I take this opportunity to tell you that for today, I have a 20% discount promo on my 7 days and 30 days Packages. It's a great opportunity to follow me for the following week/month at an excellent price!

My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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