The Philadelphia Phillies welcome the Milwaukee Brewers to the City of Brotherly Love tonight for the opener of a three game set at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch in this evening’s contest is set for 7:05pm ET. MLB Free Picks & Odds at offshore bookmaker 5Dimes have the Phillies listed as a -122 money line favorite ($122 wins $100) and the Over/Under set at eight runs (Over favored at -115 odds). The Brewers are getting +112 odds to end their current slide.
Milwaukee enters tonight’s game in full blown desperation mode. The Brewers dropped their sixth straight game last night, bringing their record to an unsavory 19-33.
The Brew Crew will look to stop the bleeding tonight with Yovani Gallardo on the hill and his career numbers against the Phillies would suggest that is possible. The six year veteran is 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA in three career appearances opposite Philadelphia; however, all of those starts came at Miller Park.
Gallardo’s current numbers point toward a different outcome as the Mexico native sports a 1-3 road record in four road starts. Gallardo, who has witnessed the Brewers lose his last five starts, posted a 5.32 ERA in those four outings.
The 26-28 Phillies will counter Gallardo with the similarly unproductive Cole Hamels. Hamels is 1-8 with a 4.43 ERA in 11 starts this season. The veteran lefty has struck out 16 in his last 12.1 innings of work (two starts), but a lack of run support rendered his efforts useless (Phillies lost 1-5 at Miami and 1-6 at Washington).
Philadelphia, which is averaging a paltry 1.4 runs per game in Hamels last five starts, is 1-10 with Hamels on the hill this season.
Notable Trends: The Brewers are 1-5 in their last six games as a road dog against a left handed pitcher with a total between 7.5 and 8 runs. The Brewers are 1-6 in Gallardo’s last seven starts as a road dog opposite a lefty and with a total between 7.5 and 8 runs.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Free Picks & Odds:
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-190), Over 8 (-115), +112 (Moneyline)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+165), Under 8 (-105), -122 (Moneyline)
Baseball Betting Tips from Chuck Edel & Johnny Detroit
Chuck Edel is a well respected gambler / handicapper who appears on numerous radio shows and is frequently featured in the Las Vegas Review Journal. He sits down with Johnny Detroit and goes over some of his personal MLB betting tips.
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