Tonight the Green Bay Phoenix will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, Indiana to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders in the Finals of the Horizon Tournament. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas betting odds have the Crusaders listed as 3.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 121.5. 

Analysis:  The Green Bay Phoenix finished the regular season at 23-7 overall and 12-4 in the Horizon League, which gave them the Number Two Seed in the tournament. The Phoenix got to the Finals by taking out Ill- Chicago by a score of 70-56. Green Bay has gone 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Green Bay has been a decent offensive team this year, as they come in ranked 127th in scoring (69.4 ppg), 49th in shooting (46.6%), 315th in 3 point shooting (30.4%) and 319th in FT shooting (64.5%). Defensively the Phoenix have been solid, ranking 43rd in points allowed (60.7 ppg), 81st in defensive FG% (40.8%) and 126th in 3 point defense (33.3%).

The Valparaiso Crusaders came into the tournament as the top seed. posting a 13-3 record in conference play. Overall for the year the team is 27-5, which includes a 13-1 mark at home. The Crusaders got to this game by Beating Cleveland State 60-55.  Valpo has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Crusaders have been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 99th in scoring (70.3 ppg), 60th in shooting (46.1%), 48th in 3 point shooting (38.1%) and 238th in FT shooting (67.1%). The defense for this team has been very good as they come in ranked 26th in points allowed (59.8 ppg), 14th in defensive FG% (38.0%) and 130th in 3 point defense (33.3%).

Pick: Going with the Under in this one. This Valpo team has been playing some awesome defense of late as they have allowed just 54.8 ppg in their last 5 games and they have held Green Bay to 59 and 51 points this year. Green Bay comes in paying solid defense as well as they have allowed just 60.3 ppg in their last 5 games and they have held Valpo to just 63 and 50 points this year. Green Bay likes to run, but this game is at Valpo and I expect them to dictate pace here. Should be a close game throughout, meaning allot of walking the ball up the court, especially late in the game. 60-56 sounds about right for this one. 

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