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Stories

Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Finals Game 6 Betting Odds Free Pick

Tuesday night NBA Finals and we will see the Golden State Warriors take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in game 6 of their best-of-seven series from Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Free Pick to follow. The game has a start time of 9:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ABC. Current Vegas betting odds have Golden State listed as 4.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 195. 

Analysis: The Warriors have found their groove after taking the last 2 games in pretty easy fashion. This is the healthier and fresher team that is looking to grab the NBA Title on their opponents home floor. The Warriors have gone 34-16 on the road this year and in game 4 they blasted the Cavs by 21 points on this floor. Golden State has gone 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 10 points, but just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Warriors have scored 106.5 ppg on 45.9% shooting overall and 38.5% from long range on the road this year. Defensively they have been decent on the road as they have allowed 100.4 ppg on 42.9% shooting overall and 32.8% shooting from long range.

The Cavaliers are a very tired team right and even having the extra day off didn't help them in game 5 as they lost 104-91 in Oakland. Now their backs are against the wall and they only have 1 day to rest between games 5 and 6. This is not good for a Cavs team that is beat up and very tired right now. Lebron is great and is having a super series, but still he can't do it all alone. The Cavs are 38-12 at home this year. Cleveland has gone 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. the Western Conference, but just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs the Warriors. The Cavaliers have been a good offensive team at home this year, scoring 103.3 ppg on 46.3% shooting overall and 38.1% shooting from long range. Defensively the Cavaliers have been solid at home, where they have allowed just 96.2 ppg on 46.1% shooting overall and 34.7% shooting from long range.  

Pick: I will be going with the Under in this game. The Cavs are tired and yes that will hurt their defense, but it has also hurt their offense. they have not shot well in this series and the only chance that they have to win is if they slow the game down. The last game on this floor the Cavs put up 82 points and I see them having issues scoring here. I also expect the warriors to have a big lead heading into the 4th quarter, while will have them slow the game down, plus it will also take away the possibility of a foul fest at the end of the game. Both teams are excellent defensive team and in another slow pace that should really help keep the scoring down again.  



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Free Best Bet: Bet Against the Best--Fade LeBron in the NBA Finals
He may be the best in the game but if you want a great best bet for the NBA Finals, pro bettor Steve Fezzik says you should bet the under on LeBron James' individual in Game 3 against Golden State and beyond. He had a great opening two games, but Fezzik and pro handicapper Teddy Covers offer several reasons why LBJ can't keep up his superhuman performance.