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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Free College Football Picks and Odds: Oregon vs. LSU

189 Oregon (-2) vs. 190 LSU 8:00 PM EST ABC Arlington, TX

The Ducks will again contend for national superiority with returning QB Thomas and RB James looking to duplicate the 47 PPG of LY. You need to go no further than last years 19 offensive points against another SEC defense that resulted in a 3 point loss in a title game to Auburn. Though they may be highly motivated to get a measure of revenge vs. the SEC the situation greatly favors the Tigers in this one. 5th year senior QB Lee will start in the place of QB Jefferson. Along with other suspensions this gives a major motivational and emotional edge to LSU. A further advantage is a field where LSU walloped Texas A&M 21-34 in their Bowl game last year. I'm well aware that HC Miles is just 16-30 ATS of late. But you must know this: He is also 17-0 SU in September. LSU parlays their emotional edge at this site for a narrow victory by the SEC against the PAC-12 rep.

193 Colorado at 194 Hawaii (-7) 10:15 PM EST ESPN 2

Hawaii was caught in a travel snafu last season when they got dumped 31-13 at the altitude of Boulder. Now the home road dichotomy is reversed with the Rainbows, 7-0 ATS home LY, hosting a Buff team that is 7-17 ATS road dog and 0-5 ATS away LY. This is also a Colorado team that has lost 17 consecutive games away from their home field. Though 16 RS is a plus, having new HC Embree, who is installing new offensive and defensive schemes, in his first game on the Islands is clearly not. Hawaii has just 9 RS but among them is QB Moniz who is capable of putting on an aerial show in this opener. Underrated Rainbow defense takes care of the rest.

197 Arkansas State vs. 198 Illinois (-20 ½) 3:30PM EST  Big Ten TV

Ark State recorded consecutive seasons 4-8 SU. That was bad enough to fire HC Roberts and bring on board his OC, Hugh Freeze. In his first year at that position for the Red Wolves he upped the offense to 30 PPG on 403 YPG. With QB returning to the fold and a more experienced defense expect an upward progression from the Red Wolves this season. The Illini have a history of failing in this role under HC Zook who is 0-7 ATS vs. non AQ foes, losing 4 of those games outright. Should the Wolves history of success in these big game encounters continue (they covered at Auburn and Indiana last year, at Iowa and A&M the two previous years) the Wolves could howl at the price.

203 Florida Atlantic vs. 204 Florida (-35) 7:00PM EST ESPN-U

FAU is further along at this point on offense this year than last. Remember they had to totally revamp OL in 2010. This year it is a much more veteran unit. Unfortunately, the Owls rely on 5 returning defenders from a unit that once again allowed 400+ yards and 29 points. Florida counters with just 10 RS a new coach and a new OC. But following an 8-5 SU season make no mistake that Muschamp and Weis will want to make a huge splash in their home opener in the Swamp

Movie Free Picks: Oregon vs LSU - Best Bet from Vegas Runner
What CFB bettors need to know about Oregon vs LSU (Saturday, Sep. 3, 2011) from - Including a free best bet from Vegas Runner and analysis from host RJ Bell.

I was born in Oakmont, PA – a couple blocks from the world famous Oakmont Country Club, before it became world famous. I attended Denison University in Granville, Ohio, where I played varsity basketball... Read more

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