Saturday college football and we will see the Houston Cougars take on the Cincinnati Bearcats at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game has a start time of 12:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas odds have Cincinnati listed as 7 point favorites, while the total is set at 56.5.  

Analysis:  The Houston Cougars come in with a decent 7-4 record on the year that includes a 5-2 mark in the AAC. The Cougars have won 5 of their last 6 games and are 3-1 on the road this year. The Cougars are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Bearcats. The Cougars are a rather average offensive squad, ranking 74th in total yards, 82nd in passing, 55th in rushing and 66th in scoring (29.2 ppg). The Defense has been outstanding for this tam as they come in ranked 13th and yards allowed, 11th vs the pass, 31st vs the run and 10th in points allowed (17.8 ppg).

The Cincinnati Bearcats come in having won 6 games in a row to push their record to 8-3 on the year. Cincinnati is also 6-1 in the AAC and 4-1 at home. The Bearcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Cincinnati has been a very good offensive team his year, ranking 30th in total yards, 14th in passing, 71st in rushing and 28th in scoring (35.2 ppg). The defense has improved for this team of late, but still they rank 95th in yards allowed, 104th vs the pass, 81st vs the run and 65th in points allowed (26.4 ppg). 

Pick: I love the Under in this one as I feel 57.5 is just too high a number for two teams that can play defense like these two can. The Cougars come in with one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 17.8 ppg, while the Bearcats have allowed just 6 total points in their last 2 games and 17 points or less in 5 of their last 6 games. I know what both offenses can do, but this game will be much more about these solid defensive units that are on the field. The Under is 5-1 in the Cougars last 6 road games and 6-1 in the Bearcats last 7 games vs conference opponents. Upper 40s at most here. 

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